Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance

Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Main Authors: Emil Tkadlec, Tomáš Václavík, Pavel Široký
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2019
Subjects:
climate variability
common vole
Ixodes ricinus
Lyme disease
Microtus arvalis
tickborne encephalitis
Medicine
R
Infectious and parasitic diseases
RC109-216
Common vole
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2509.190684
https://doaj.org/article/80a43c063d9d42568c77eaf98a185c98
Description
Summary:Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance.

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