Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai
Dynamics of the forest ecosystems connects closely with the natural and anthropogenic changes (succession processes, forest fires, windfalls, forest insects, forest diseases, forest harvesting, reforestation, the infrastructure development associated and not associated with forestry and so forth). A...
Published in: | Сибирский лесной журнал |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English Russian |
Published: |
Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch Publishing House
2017
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.15372/SJFS20170408 https://doaj.org/article/7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 2023-05-15T17:05:31+02:00 Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai V. A. Sokolov N. V. Sokolova O. P. Vtyurina E. А. Lapin 2017-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.15372/SJFS20170408 https://doaj.org/article/7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 EN RU eng rus Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch Publishing House http://xn--80abmehbaibgnewcmzjeef0c.xn--p1ai/upload/iblock/7d6/7d6e5fb15e72dcb76d6892db0c9171bc.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2311-1410 https://doaj.org/toc/2312-2099 doi:10.15372/SJFS20170408 2311-1410 2312-2099 https://doaj.org/article/7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 Сибирский лесной журнал, Vol 4, Iss 4, Pp 91-100 (2017) forest complex development strategy forecast for forest dynamics forestry forest management SD1-669.5 article 2017 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.15372/SJFS20170408 2022-12-31T05:00:06Z Dynamics of the forest ecosystems connects closely with the natural and anthropogenic changes (succession processes, forest fires, windfalls, forest insects, forest diseases, forest harvesting, reforestation, the infrastructure development associated and not associated with forestry and so forth). Authors do not consider the up-to-day problem of global warming on the Earth, as opinions of scientists are controversial. Retrospective analysis of forest dynamics of the Krasnoyarsk Territory for the last 50 years has allowed to assess the impact of these changes on condition of forests. The univocal conclusion of deterioration of forest quality has been drawn. Area of coniferous forests has decreased by 9 %, including the 25 % reduction of mature and overmature forest stands. To forecast forest dynamics, modelling of natural and anthropogenic processes in the forest ecosystems has been applied, taking into account that the existing system of measures for reforestation and tending care of forest actually does not affect dynamics of the forests. The provision about increase in forest harvesting volume to 37.6 million м3 of the Development Strategy of the Krasnoyarsk Forest Industrial Complex has been used for forecasting. It has been proved that such scale of forest harvesting will inevitably lead to the over-cutting of ecological and economic accessible allowable cut that will negatively affect the forest condition in 50 years. Our forecast of forest dynamics of the Krasnoyarsk Territory for the next 50 years has showed that negative changes will continue at the same pace under the current extensive form of forest management. What is more, the maximum decrease of forest area might be in pine forests (32.9 %) with the significant increase of broadleaves forests – 22.7 %. To improve the situation in the Russian forest sector, a radical change in the system of forest management is needed. Article in Journal/Newspaper Krasnoyarsk Krai Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Сибирский лесной журнал 4 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English Russian |
topic |
forest complex development strategy forecast for forest dynamics forestry forest management SD1-669.5 |
spellingShingle |
forest complex development strategy forecast for forest dynamics forestry forest management SD1-669.5 V. A. Sokolov N. V. Sokolova O. P. Vtyurina E. А. Lapin Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
topic_facet |
forest complex development strategy forecast for forest dynamics forestry forest management SD1-669.5 |
description |
Dynamics of the forest ecosystems connects closely with the natural and anthropogenic changes (succession processes, forest fires, windfalls, forest insects, forest diseases, forest harvesting, reforestation, the infrastructure development associated and not associated with forestry and so forth). Authors do not consider the up-to-day problem of global warming on the Earth, as opinions of scientists are controversial. Retrospective analysis of forest dynamics of the Krasnoyarsk Territory for the last 50 years has allowed to assess the impact of these changes on condition of forests. The univocal conclusion of deterioration of forest quality has been drawn. Area of coniferous forests has decreased by 9 %, including the 25 % reduction of mature and overmature forest stands. To forecast forest dynamics, modelling of natural and anthropogenic processes in the forest ecosystems has been applied, taking into account that the existing system of measures for reforestation and tending care of forest actually does not affect dynamics of the forests. The provision about increase in forest harvesting volume to 37.6 million м3 of the Development Strategy of the Krasnoyarsk Forest Industrial Complex has been used for forecasting. It has been proved that such scale of forest harvesting will inevitably lead to the over-cutting of ecological and economic accessible allowable cut that will negatively affect the forest condition in 50 years. Our forecast of forest dynamics of the Krasnoyarsk Territory for the next 50 years has showed that negative changes will continue at the same pace under the current extensive form of forest management. What is more, the maximum decrease of forest area might be in pine forests (32.9 %) with the significant increase of broadleaves forests – 22.7 %. To improve the situation in the Russian forest sector, a radical change in the system of forest management is needed. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
V. A. Sokolov N. V. Sokolova O. P. Vtyurina E. А. Lapin |
author_facet |
V. A. Sokolov N. V. Sokolova O. P. Vtyurina E. А. Lapin |
author_sort |
V. A. Sokolov |
title |
Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
title_short |
Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
title_full |
Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
title_fullStr |
Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forecast for the dynamics of forests in Krasnoyarsk Krai |
title_sort |
forecast for the dynamics of forests in krasnoyarsk krai |
publisher |
Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch Publishing House |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.15372/SJFS20170408 https://doaj.org/article/7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 |
genre |
Krasnoyarsk Krai |
genre_facet |
Krasnoyarsk Krai |
op_source |
Сибирский лесной журнал, Vol 4, Iss 4, Pp 91-100 (2017) |
op_relation |
http://xn--80abmehbaibgnewcmzjeef0c.xn--p1ai/upload/iblock/7d6/7d6e5fb15e72dcb76d6892db0c9171bc.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2311-1410 https://doaj.org/toc/2312-2099 doi:10.15372/SJFS20170408 2311-1410 2312-2099 https://doaj.org/article/7f87b5270f214d8899e144b949762261 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.15372/SJFS20170408 |
container_title |
Сибирский лесной журнал |
container_issue |
4 |
_version_ |
1766060053725446144 |