The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus).
Harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus) have evolved life history strategies to exploit seasonal sea ice as a breeding platform. As such, individuals are prepared to deal with fluctuations in the quantity and quality of ice in their breeding areas. It remains unclear, however, how shifts in climate ma...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:7e2602a56c9247389bfddbfc0ec4c9c6 2023-05-15T16:33:44+02:00 The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). David W Johnston Matthew T Bowers Ari S Friedlaender David M Lavigne 2012-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 https://doaj.org/article/7e2602a56c9247389bfddbfc0ec4c9c6 EN eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3251559?pdf=render https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 https://doaj.org/article/7e2602a56c9247389bfddbfc0ec4c9c6 PLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 1, p e29158 (2012) Medicine R Science Q article 2012 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 2022-12-31T00:27:01Z Harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus) have evolved life history strategies to exploit seasonal sea ice as a breeding platform. As such, individuals are prepared to deal with fluctuations in the quantity and quality of ice in their breeding areas. It remains unclear, however, how shifts in climate may affect seal populations. The present study assesses the effects of climate change on harp seals through three linked analyses. First, we tested the effects of short-term climate variability on young-of-the year harp seal mortality using a linear regression of sea ice cover in the Gulf of St. Lawrence against stranding rates of dead harp seals in the region during 1992 to 2010. A similar regression of stranding rates and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index values was also conducted. These analyses revealed negative correlations between both ice cover and NAO conditions and seal mortality, indicating that lighter ice cover and lower NAO values result in higher mortality. A retrospective cross-correlation analysis of NAO conditions and sea ice cover from 1978 to 2011 revealed that NAO-related changes in sea ice may have contributed to the depletion of seals on the east coast of Canada during 1950 to 1972, and to their recovery during 1973 to 2000. This historical retrospective also reveals opposite links between neonatal mortality in harp seals in the Northeast Atlantic and NAO phase. Finally, an assessment of the long-term trends in sea ice cover in the breeding regions of harp seals across the entire North Atlantic during 1979 through 2011 using multiple linear regression models and mixed effects linear regression models revealed that sea ice cover in all harp seal breeding regions has been declining by as much as 6 percent per decade over the time series of available satellite data. Article in Journal/Newspaper Harp Seal North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northeast Atlantic Pagophilus groenlandicus Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Canada PLoS ONE 7 1 e29158 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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English |
topic |
Medicine R Science Q |
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Medicine R Science Q David W Johnston Matthew T Bowers Ari S Friedlaender David M Lavigne The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
topic_facet |
Medicine R Science Q |
description |
Harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus) have evolved life history strategies to exploit seasonal sea ice as a breeding platform. As such, individuals are prepared to deal with fluctuations in the quantity and quality of ice in their breeding areas. It remains unclear, however, how shifts in climate may affect seal populations. The present study assesses the effects of climate change on harp seals through three linked analyses. First, we tested the effects of short-term climate variability on young-of-the year harp seal mortality using a linear regression of sea ice cover in the Gulf of St. Lawrence against stranding rates of dead harp seals in the region during 1992 to 2010. A similar regression of stranding rates and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index values was also conducted. These analyses revealed negative correlations between both ice cover and NAO conditions and seal mortality, indicating that lighter ice cover and lower NAO values result in higher mortality. A retrospective cross-correlation analysis of NAO conditions and sea ice cover from 1978 to 2011 revealed that NAO-related changes in sea ice may have contributed to the depletion of seals on the east coast of Canada during 1950 to 1972, and to their recovery during 1973 to 2000. This historical retrospective also reveals opposite links between neonatal mortality in harp seals in the Northeast Atlantic and NAO phase. Finally, an assessment of the long-term trends in sea ice cover in the breeding regions of harp seals across the entire North Atlantic during 1979 through 2011 using multiple linear regression models and mixed effects linear regression models revealed that sea ice cover in all harp seal breeding regions has been declining by as much as 6 percent per decade over the time series of available satellite data. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
David W Johnston Matthew T Bowers Ari S Friedlaender David M Lavigne |
author_facet |
David W Johnston Matthew T Bowers Ari S Friedlaender David M Lavigne |
author_sort |
David W Johnston |
title |
The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
title_short |
The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
title_full |
The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
title_fullStr |
The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
title_full_unstemmed |
The effects of climate change on harp seals (Pagophilus groenlandicus). |
title_sort |
effects of climate change on harp seals (pagophilus groenlandicus). |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 https://doaj.org/article/7e2602a56c9247389bfddbfc0ec4c9c6 |
geographic |
Canada |
geographic_facet |
Canada |
genre |
Harp Seal North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northeast Atlantic Pagophilus groenlandicus Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Harp Seal North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Northeast Atlantic Pagophilus groenlandicus Sea ice |
op_source |
PLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 1, p e29158 (2012) |
op_relation |
http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3251559?pdf=render https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 https://doaj.org/article/7e2602a56c9247389bfddbfc0ec4c9c6 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029158 |
container_title |
PLoS ONE |
container_volume |
7 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
e29158 |
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