Important role of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the Arctic mid-to-upper tropospheric warming in response to sea-ice loss

Abstract Recent studies have suggested that deep Arctic warming, extending from the surface to the upper troposphere, could trigger mid-latitude atmospheric circulation changes, while shallow Arctic warming, confined in the lowermost troposphere, induces comparatively weak remote responses. The caus...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Main Authors: Mian Xu, Wenshou Tian, Jiankai Zhang, James A. Screen, Chongyang Zhang, Zhe Wang
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00333-2
https://doaj.org/article/77a29d1f60144e3eb93caf321abcbe9e
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Summary:Abstract Recent studies have suggested that deep Arctic warming, extending from the surface to the upper troposphere, could trigger mid-latitude atmospheric circulation changes, while shallow Arctic warming, confined in the lowermost troposphere, induces comparatively weak remote responses. The causes of Arctic mid-to-upper tropospheric warming are less clear compared with near-surface warming. Here, we demonstrate a new dynamical mechanism responsible for the polar mid-to-upper tropospheric warming associated with Arctic sea-ice loss, using both reanalysis and model simulations. The Barents-Kara sea-ice loss enhances the upward propagating waves, leading to the wave convergence anomalies in the sub-polar lower stratosphere and upper troposphere. The consequent eddy feedback leads to clockwise residual overturning anomalies in the sub-polar upper and middle troposphere, accompanied by anomalous descent and consequent adiabatic warming in the Arctic mid-to-upper troposphere. The essential role of stratosphere-troposphere coupling for deep Arctic warming induced by sea-ice loss is confirmed by model simulations with stratospheric variability suppressed, in which only the Arctic lower troposphere is warmed in response to sea-ice loss. Our results suggest that a considerable part of the observed Arctic mid-to-upper warming is caused by a dynamical response to sea-ice loss, in which stratosphere-troposphere coupling plays a major role.