Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition
The aim of this paper is to present a decision support system (DSS) to capture the complexity of the transition of a national energy system to net zero in the context of multiple sustainability themes. The paper proposes an integrated assessment framework that combines dynamic systems modeling, sust...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:70df74cef7c44b0b8c38a94c000fceff 2024-09-30T14:37:29+00:00 Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition Brynhildur Davidsdottir Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson Reza Fazeli Ingunn Gunnarsdottir Jonathan Leaver Ehsan Shafiei Hlynur Stefánsson 2024-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266 https://doaj.org/article/70df74cef7c44b0b8c38a94c000fceff EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/17/4266 https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073 doi:10.3390/en17174266 1996-1073 https://doaj.org/article/70df74cef7c44b0b8c38a94c000fceff Energies, Vol 17, Iss 17, p 4266 (2024) sustainable energy development system dynamics modeling sustainability indicators multi-criteria decision analysis stakeholder engagement low-carbon transport Technology T article 2024 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266 2024-09-17T16:00:44Z The aim of this paper is to present a decision support system (DSS) to capture the complexity of the transition of a national energy system to net zero in the context of multiple sustainability themes. The paper proposes an integrated assessment framework that combines dynamic systems modeling, sustainability indicators, and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) with direct stakeholder involvement. To illustrate the use of the DSS, the paper compares bundles of climate change policies that aim to decarbonize the road transport sector in Iceland. Eighteen scenarios and alternative development trajectories are defined for the Icelandic energy system based on a combination of three main driving forces. These are, firstly, economic development (three cases); secondly, changes in energy efficiency (two cases); and finally, three climate policy bundles aimed at increasing the share of electric vehicles. Based on the results from the integrated assessment framework, the performance scores of the climate policy bundles are compared across the following five sustainability themes: social impact; economic development; environmental impact; energy security; and technical aspects. The findings confirm that a different conclusion may be reached when multiple sustainability themes are applied in the selection of preferred policy bundles as compared to conventional techno-economic criteria. Banning the registration of fossil-fueled vehicles, combined with economic instruments, offers the best decarbonizing strategy to reach climate and energy policy goals simultaneously. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Energies 17 17 4266 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
sustainable energy development system dynamics modeling sustainability indicators multi-criteria decision analysis stakeholder engagement low-carbon transport Technology T |
spellingShingle |
sustainable energy development system dynamics modeling sustainability indicators multi-criteria decision analysis stakeholder engagement low-carbon transport Technology T Brynhildur Davidsdottir Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson Reza Fazeli Ingunn Gunnarsdottir Jonathan Leaver Ehsan Shafiei Hlynur Stefánsson Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
topic_facet |
sustainable energy development system dynamics modeling sustainability indicators multi-criteria decision analysis stakeholder engagement low-carbon transport Technology T |
description |
The aim of this paper is to present a decision support system (DSS) to capture the complexity of the transition of a national energy system to net zero in the context of multiple sustainability themes. The paper proposes an integrated assessment framework that combines dynamic systems modeling, sustainability indicators, and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) with direct stakeholder involvement. To illustrate the use of the DSS, the paper compares bundles of climate change policies that aim to decarbonize the road transport sector in Iceland. Eighteen scenarios and alternative development trajectories are defined for the Icelandic energy system based on a combination of three main driving forces. These are, firstly, economic development (three cases); secondly, changes in energy efficiency (two cases); and finally, three climate policy bundles aimed at increasing the share of electric vehicles. Based on the results from the integrated assessment framework, the performance scores of the climate policy bundles are compared across the following five sustainability themes: social impact; economic development; environmental impact; energy security; and technical aspects. The findings confirm that a different conclusion may be reached when multiple sustainability themes are applied in the selection of preferred policy bundles as compared to conventional techno-economic criteria. Banning the registration of fossil-fueled vehicles, combined with economic instruments, offers the best decarbonizing strategy to reach climate and energy policy goals simultaneously. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Brynhildur Davidsdottir Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson Reza Fazeli Ingunn Gunnarsdottir Jonathan Leaver Ehsan Shafiei Hlynur Stefánsson |
author_facet |
Brynhildur Davidsdottir Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson Reza Fazeli Ingunn Gunnarsdottir Jonathan Leaver Ehsan Shafiei Hlynur Stefánsson |
author_sort |
Brynhildur Davidsdottir |
title |
Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
title_short |
Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
title_full |
Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
title_fullStr |
Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
title_full_unstemmed |
Integrated Energy Systems Modeling with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Stakeholder Engagement for Identifying a Sustainable Energy Transition |
title_sort |
integrated energy systems modeling with multi-criteria decision analysis and stakeholder engagement for identifying a sustainable energy transition |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266 https://doaj.org/article/70df74cef7c44b0b8c38a94c000fceff |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
Energies, Vol 17, Iss 17, p 4266 (2024) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/17/4266 https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073 doi:10.3390/en17174266 1996-1073 https://doaj.org/article/70df74cef7c44b0b8c38a94c000fceff |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en17174266 |
container_title |
Energies |
container_volume |
17 |
container_issue |
17 |
container_start_page |
4266 |
_version_ |
1811640323662675968 |