Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies
The new PAGES2k global compilation of temperature-sensitive proxies offers an unprecedented opportunity to study regional to global trends associated with orbitally driven changes in solar irradiance over the past 2 millennia. Here, we analyze pre-industrial long-term trends from 1 to 1800 CE across...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:6b87d651768e4cc98badd1467f98822f 2023-05-15T16:39:09+02:00 Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies L. Klippel S. St. George U. Büntgen P. J. Krusic J. Esper 2020-04-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 https://doaj.org/article/6b87d651768e4cc98badd1467f98822f EN eng Copernicus Publications https://www.clim-past.net/16/729/2020/cp-16-729-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1814-9324 https://doaj.org/toc/1814-9332 doi:10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 1814-9324 1814-9332 https://doaj.org/article/6b87d651768e4cc98badd1467f98822f Climate of the Past, Vol 16, Pp 729-742 (2020) Environmental pollution TD172-193.5 Environmental protection TD169-171.8 Environmental sciences GE1-350 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 2023-01-08T01:40:29Z The new PAGES2k global compilation of temperature-sensitive proxies offers an unprecedented opportunity to study regional to global trends associated with orbitally driven changes in solar irradiance over the past 2 millennia. Here, we analyze pre-industrial long-term trends from 1 to 1800 CE across the PAGES2k dataset and find that, in contrast to the gradual cooling apparent in ice core, marine, and lake sediment data, tree rings do not exhibit the same decline. To understand why tree-ring proxies lack any evidence of a significant pre-industrial cooling, we divide those data by location (high Northern Hemisphere latitudes vs. midlatitudes), seasonal response (annual vs. summer), detrending method, and temperature sensitivity (high vs. low). We conclude that the ability of tree-ring proxies to detect pre-industrial, millennial-long cooling is not affected by latitude, seasonal sensitivity, or detrending method. Caution is advised when using multi-proxy approaches to reconstruct long-term temperature changes over the entire Common Era. Article in Journal/Newspaper ice core Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Climate of the Past 16 2 729 742 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Environmental pollution TD172-193.5 Environmental protection TD169-171.8 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
spellingShingle |
Environmental pollution TD172-193.5 Environmental protection TD169-171.8 Environmental sciences GE1-350 L. Klippel S. St. George U. Büntgen P. J. Krusic J. Esper Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
topic_facet |
Environmental pollution TD172-193.5 Environmental protection TD169-171.8 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
description |
The new PAGES2k global compilation of temperature-sensitive proxies offers an unprecedented opportunity to study regional to global trends associated with orbitally driven changes in solar irradiance over the past 2 millennia. Here, we analyze pre-industrial long-term trends from 1 to 1800 CE across the PAGES2k dataset and find that, in contrast to the gradual cooling apparent in ice core, marine, and lake sediment data, tree rings do not exhibit the same decline. To understand why tree-ring proxies lack any evidence of a significant pre-industrial cooling, we divide those data by location (high Northern Hemisphere latitudes vs. midlatitudes), seasonal response (annual vs. summer), detrending method, and temperature sensitivity (high vs. low). We conclude that the ability of tree-ring proxies to detect pre-industrial, millennial-long cooling is not affected by latitude, seasonal sensitivity, or detrending method. Caution is advised when using multi-proxy approaches to reconstruct long-term temperature changes over the entire Common Era. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
L. Klippel S. St. George U. Büntgen P. J. Krusic J. Esper |
author_facet |
L. Klippel S. St. George U. Büntgen P. J. Krusic J. Esper |
author_sort |
L. Klippel |
title |
Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
title_short |
Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
title_full |
Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
title_fullStr |
Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
title_full_unstemmed |
Differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
title_sort |
differing pre-industrial cooling trends between tree rings and lower-resolution temperature proxies |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 https://doaj.org/article/6b87d651768e4cc98badd1467f98822f |
genre |
ice core |
genre_facet |
ice core |
op_source |
Climate of the Past, Vol 16, Pp 729-742 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://www.clim-past.net/16/729/2020/cp-16-729-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1814-9324 https://doaj.org/toc/1814-9332 doi:10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 1814-9324 1814-9332 https://doaj.org/article/6b87d651768e4cc98badd1467f98822f |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-729-2020 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
729 |
op_container_end_page |
742 |
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1766029482822467584 |