Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land
According to the IPCC it is possible to predict larger weather extremity associated with more frequent occurrence of heat waves. These waves have an impact not only on the health status of the population, on economic, social and environmental spheres, but also on agricultural landscape and productio...
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Earth Science Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Slovakia
2017
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:6b0beeebba314a4ab941a2c1199312e8 2023-05-15T15:13:25+02:00 Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land Marta VANÍČKOVÁ Eva STEHNOVÁ Hana STŘEDOVÁ 2017-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 https://doaj.org/article/6b0beeebba314a4ab941a2c1199312e8 EN eng Earth Science Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Slovakia https://journal.geo.sav.sk/cgg/article/view/172 https://doaj.org/toc/1338-0540 1338-0540 doi:10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 https://doaj.org/article/6b0beeebba314a4ab941a2c1199312e8 Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, Vol 47, Iss 3, Pp 247-260 (2017) heat waves the czech republic south moravia characteristic days climate change Geodesy QB275-343 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2017 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 2022-12-31T13:50:53Z According to the IPCC it is possible to predict larger weather extremity associated with more frequent occurrence of heat waves. These waves have an impact not only on the health status of the population, on economic, social and environmental spheres, but also on agricultural landscape and production. The paper deals with the issue of climate extremity and addresses mainly the occurrence of characteristic days (tropical, summer, freezing, ice and arctic) and heat waves. The south-eastern Moravia belongs to the warmest regions of the Czech Republic. Since the area is not urban, it is not affected by urban heat islands. Thus, it can be used as a representative area of climate change in terms of weather extremes. Heat wave occurrence and length analysis was performed for the period of 1931–1960 and 1961–2013. In addition, a prospective analysis was carried out for the period of 2021–2100 where the scenario data of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute were used. Between 1961 and 1990, heat waves appeared from June to September. The prediction for the next two decades shows that heat waves may appear as early as May. Furthermore, the average count of days in heat waves increased from 6.13 days (1961–1990) to 36 days (2071–2100). A statistically significant increase in the annual number of tropical days (from 9 to 20 days) was found in the assessment of characteristic days for the period 1961–2013. A highly conspicuous trend was found in July and a prominent trend was identified in May. A statistically highly significant trend was also observed in the annual number of summer days. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy 47 3 247 260 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
heat waves the czech republic south moravia characteristic days climate change Geodesy QB275-343 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
heat waves the czech republic south moravia characteristic days climate change Geodesy QB275-343 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 Marta VANÍČKOVÁ Eva STEHNOVÁ Hana STŘEDOVÁ Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
topic_facet |
heat waves the czech republic south moravia characteristic days climate change Geodesy QB275-343 Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
According to the IPCC it is possible to predict larger weather extremity associated with more frequent occurrence of heat waves. These waves have an impact not only on the health status of the population, on economic, social and environmental spheres, but also on agricultural landscape and production. The paper deals with the issue of climate extremity and addresses mainly the occurrence of characteristic days (tropical, summer, freezing, ice and arctic) and heat waves. The south-eastern Moravia belongs to the warmest regions of the Czech Republic. Since the area is not urban, it is not affected by urban heat islands. Thus, it can be used as a representative area of climate change in terms of weather extremes. Heat wave occurrence and length analysis was performed for the period of 1931–1960 and 1961–2013. In addition, a prospective analysis was carried out for the period of 2021–2100 where the scenario data of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute were used. Between 1961 and 1990, heat waves appeared from June to September. The prediction for the next two decades shows that heat waves may appear as early as May. Furthermore, the average count of days in heat waves increased from 6.13 days (1961–1990) to 36 days (2071–2100). A statistically significant increase in the annual number of tropical days (from 9 to 20 days) was found in the assessment of characteristic days for the period 1961–2013. A highly conspicuous trend was found in July and a prominent trend was identified in May. A statistically highly significant trend was also observed in the annual number of summer days. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Marta VANÍČKOVÁ Eva STEHNOVÁ Hana STŘEDOVÁ |
author_facet |
Marta VANÍČKOVÁ Eva STEHNOVÁ Hana STŘEDOVÁ |
author_sort |
Marta VANÍČKOVÁ |
title |
Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
title_short |
Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
title_full |
Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
title_fullStr |
Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
title_full_unstemmed |
Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land |
title_sort |
long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: case study for agricultural land |
publisher |
Earth Science Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Slovakia |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 https://doaj.org/article/6b0beeebba314a4ab941a2c1199312e8 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change |
op_source |
Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, Vol 47, Iss 3, Pp 247-260 (2017) |
op_relation |
https://journal.geo.sav.sk/cgg/article/view/172 https://doaj.org/toc/1338-0540 1338-0540 doi:10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 https://doaj.org/article/6b0beeebba314a4ab941a2c1199312e8 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013 |
container_title |
Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy |
container_volume |
47 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
247 |
op_container_end_page |
260 |
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1766343973916377088 |