Chagas disease mortality in Brazil: A Bayesian analysis of age-period-cohort effects and forecasts for two decades.

• Published in: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases
• Main Authors: Taynãna César Simões, Laiane Félix Borges, Auzenda Conceição Parreira de Assis, Maria Vitórias Silva, Juliano Dos Santos, Karina Cardoso Meira
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2018
• Subjects: Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine; RC955-962; Public aspects of medicine; RA1-1270; Arctic; Laplace
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0006798; https://doaj.org/article/69fd266e346449d8ada81abe631be584

BACKGROUND:Chagas disease (CD) is a neglected chronic parasitic infection and a public health problem that is preventable, and has serious complications. In this study, the effects of age, period and birth cohort (APC Effects) on the evolution of the mortality of that disease in Brazil, from 1980-20...