Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach

In the Russian Arctic and its coastal eco-socio-economic systems, there is a significant increase in natural and technogenic risks of nature management, which is associated both with the processes of global climate change in the Arctic and with the constantly increasing anthropogenic impact. Based o...

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Main Authors: Gogoberidze G., Rumiantceva E., Shilin M.
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Russian
Published: LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16
https://doaj.org/article/5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841
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spelling ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841 2023-05-15T14:25:34+02:00 Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach Gogoberidze G. Rumiantceva E. Shilin M. 2021-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16 https://doaj.org/article/5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841 EN RU eng rus LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic https://en.russian-arctic.info/info/articles/geoecology/risk-assessment-of-the-arctic-coastal-nature-management-based-on-the-matrix-approach/ https://doaj.org/toc/2658-4255 doi:10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16 2658-4255 https://doaj.org/article/5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841 Российская Арктика, Vol 15, Iss 15, Pp 5-16 (2021) nature management risk coastal eco-socio-economic system arctic matrices of risk components integral risk indicator Geography (General) G1-922 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16 2022-12-31T07:33:37Z In the Russian Arctic and its coastal eco-socio-economic systems, there is a significant increase in natural and technogenic risks of nature management, which is associated both with the processes of global climate change in the Arctic and with the constantly increasing anthropogenic impact. Based on the representation of risk as a process in the form of risk-factor – risk-source and risk-object – risk-factor matrices, it is proposed to use a matrix approach to assessing the risks of Arctic coastal nature management. The approach is based on the process of risks classification, the interaction of their components and the impact of risk on the elements of the Arctic coastal system, using expert criterial assessments. The paper formulates the basic principles and algorithm of the matrix approach in the form of three actions: reducing the dimension of matrices of risk components, calculating risk factor estimates Ri and calculating the assessment of the integral risk indicator RInt. As an approbation, nature management risk assessments were obtained for two coastal territorial formations of the Murmansk Region (Kola urban settlement and Varzuga rural settlement), and the most significant risk factors for each territory were identified. The proposed matrix approach makes it possible to map the Arctic coastal eco-socio-economic systems according to the degree of risk of nature management, to carry out situational and scenario assessments of the integral risk indicator and its components due to the placement of a new infrastructure facility. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Climate change Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Murmansk Varzuga ENVELOPE(36.942,36.942,66.268,66.268)
institution Open Polar
collection Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles
op_collection_id ftdoajarticles
language English
Russian
topic nature management risk
coastal eco-socio-economic system
arctic
matrices of risk components
integral risk indicator
Geography (General)
G1-922
spellingShingle nature management risk
coastal eco-socio-economic system
arctic
matrices of risk components
integral risk indicator
Geography (General)
G1-922
Gogoberidze G.
Rumiantceva E.
Shilin M.
Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
topic_facet nature management risk
coastal eco-socio-economic system
arctic
matrices of risk components
integral risk indicator
Geography (General)
G1-922
description In the Russian Arctic and its coastal eco-socio-economic systems, there is a significant increase in natural and technogenic risks of nature management, which is associated both with the processes of global climate change in the Arctic and with the constantly increasing anthropogenic impact. Based on the representation of risk as a process in the form of risk-factor – risk-source and risk-object – risk-factor matrices, it is proposed to use a matrix approach to assessing the risks of Arctic coastal nature management. The approach is based on the process of risks classification, the interaction of their components and the impact of risk on the elements of the Arctic coastal system, using expert criterial assessments. The paper formulates the basic principles and algorithm of the matrix approach in the form of three actions: reducing the dimension of matrices of risk components, calculating risk factor estimates Ri and calculating the assessment of the integral risk indicator RInt. As an approbation, nature management risk assessments were obtained for two coastal territorial formations of the Murmansk Region (Kola urban settlement and Varzuga rural settlement), and the most significant risk factors for each territory were identified. The proposed matrix approach makes it possible to map the Arctic coastal eco-socio-economic systems according to the degree of risk of nature management, to carry out situational and scenario assessments of the integral risk indicator and its components due to the placement of a new infrastructure facility.
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Gogoberidze G.
Rumiantceva E.
Shilin M.
author_facet Gogoberidze G.
Rumiantceva E.
Shilin M.
author_sort Gogoberidze G.
title Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
title_short Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
title_full Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
title_fullStr Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
title_full_unstemmed Risk assessment of the Arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
title_sort risk assessment of the arctic coastal nature management based on the matrix approach
publisher LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic
publishDate 2021
url https://doi.org/10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16
https://doaj.org/article/5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841
long_lat ENVELOPE(36.942,36.942,66.268,66.268)
geographic Arctic
Murmansk
Varzuga
geographic_facet Arctic
Murmansk
Varzuga
genre Arctic
Arctic
Climate change
genre_facet Arctic
Arctic
Climate change
op_source Российская Арктика, Vol 15, Iss 15, Pp 5-16 (2021)
op_relation https://en.russian-arctic.info/info/articles/geoecology/risk-assessment-of-the-arctic-coastal-nature-management-based-on-the-matrix-approach/
https://doaj.org/toc/2658-4255
doi:10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16
2658-4255
https://doaj.org/article/5c740901de8f4c12b8257913c4a6c841
op_doi https://doi.org/10.24412/2658-4255-2021-4-05-16
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