A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean
Abstract To deal with the great challenges in simulating the highly non‐linear physics of Antarctic sea ice, a multivariate balanced atmospheric ensemble forcing is developed based on the high‐resolution component of ERA5, which considers the relationship between different variables and adjacent tim...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:5b445fa97c184ffab61c596488f27497 2024-09-15T17:48:16+00:00 A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean Hao Luo Qinghua Yang Matthew Mazloff Dake Chen 2023-03-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/article/5b445fa97c184ffab61c596488f27497 EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/article/5b445fa97c184ffab61c596488f27497 Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 5, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 2024-08-05T17:49:23Z Abstract To deal with the great challenges in simulating the highly non‐linear physics of Antarctic sea ice, a multivariate balanced atmospheric ensemble forcing is developed based on the high‐resolution component of ERA5, which considers the relationship between different variables and adjacent times. To validate the performance of this new forcing, experiments were conducted from 1 January 2016 to 28 February 2017. Compared to simulations forced with the ensemble component of ERA5, a more reasonable ensemble of simulations is produced by the atmospheric ensemble forcing developed in this study, which suppresses the sea‐ice concentration (SIC) simulation errors and produces a better estimation of SIC simulation uncertainties. Further sea‐ice thickness budget analysis reveals that this impact of atmospheric ensemble forcing on sea ice simulation is due to a modulation of atmosphere‐ocean and sea ice‐ocean thermodynamic processes. These results lay the foundation for further improvements in Antarctic sea ice data assimilation and probabilistic prediction. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice Southern Ocean Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Geophysical Research Letters 50 5 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 Hao Luo Qinghua Yang Matthew Mazloff Dake Chen A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
topic_facet |
Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
Abstract To deal with the great challenges in simulating the highly non‐linear physics of Antarctic sea ice, a multivariate balanced atmospheric ensemble forcing is developed based on the high‐resolution component of ERA5, which considers the relationship between different variables and adjacent times. To validate the performance of this new forcing, experiments were conducted from 1 January 2016 to 28 February 2017. Compared to simulations forced with the ensemble component of ERA5, a more reasonable ensemble of simulations is produced by the atmospheric ensemble forcing developed in this study, which suppresses the sea‐ice concentration (SIC) simulation errors and produces a better estimation of SIC simulation uncertainties. Further sea‐ice thickness budget analysis reveals that this impact of atmospheric ensemble forcing on sea ice simulation is due to a modulation of atmosphere‐ocean and sea ice‐ocean thermodynamic processes. These results lay the foundation for further improvements in Antarctic sea ice data assimilation and probabilistic prediction. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hao Luo Qinghua Yang Matthew Mazloff Dake Chen |
author_facet |
Hao Luo Qinghua Yang Matthew Mazloff Dake Chen |
author_sort |
Hao Luo |
title |
A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
title_short |
A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
title_full |
A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
title_fullStr |
A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
title_full_unstemmed |
A Balanced Atmospheric Ensemble Forcing for Sea Ice Modeling in Southern Ocean |
title_sort |
balanced atmospheric ensemble forcing for sea ice modeling in southern ocean |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/article/5b445fa97c184ffab61c596488f27497 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice Southern Ocean |
op_source |
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 5, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/toc/0094-8276 https://doaj.org/toc/1944-8007 1944-8007 0094-8276 doi:10.1029/2022GL101139 https://doaj.org/article/5b445fa97c184ffab61c596488f27497 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101139 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
50 |
container_issue |
5 |
_version_ |
1810289430925148160 |