Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System
Using the event study methodology, the paper studies the effects of 22 key events in countries’ process of entering and exiting the European Union on returns of European Union Allowance (EUA) future prices in the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The events include 17 entry events concerning the...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:5ae8ad4ad5f9438f811ed1c85638a5dd 2023-05-15T16:51:13+02:00 Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System Yue Xu Dayu Zhai 2022-10-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113806 https://doaj.org/article/5ae8ad4ad5f9438f811ed1c85638a5dd EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13806 https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050 doi:10.3390/su142113806 2071-1050 https://doaj.org/article/5ae8ad4ad5f9438f811ed1c85638a5dd Sustainability, Vol 14, Iss 13806, p 13806 (2022) unified carbon market carbon price EU member states EU ETS event study Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113806 2022-12-30T23:16:30Z Using the event study methodology, the paper studies the effects of 22 key events in countries’ process of entering and exiting the European Union on returns of European Union Allowance (EUA) future prices in the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The events include 17 entry events concerning the signing of relevant agreements, becoming a candidate or potential candidate country, the process of a negotiation and formally entering the EU, and five exit events including the process of Brexit and the suspension of Iceland. The results show that two entry events involving Albania and Ukraine, respectively, have a significant positive impact, and five entry events have a significant negative impact. Among the exit events, the announcement of the Brexit referendum results causes significant negative market reaction. Most events regarding small carbon emitters entering the EU lead to negative cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) of EUA prices, and a significant negative correlation between the countries’ annual average carbon emissions and CAR is found, while the change of national allocation plans does not affect the market reaction notably. In the process of establishing a unified carbon market, regulators should carry out appropriate policy arrangements of emission allowances allocation when new members join, in order to guide market expectations and enhance market stability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Iceland Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Sustainability 14 21 13806 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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ftdoajarticles |
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English |
topic |
unified carbon market carbon price EU member states EU ETS event study Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
spellingShingle |
unified carbon market carbon price EU member states EU ETS event study Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Yue Xu Dayu Zhai Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
topic_facet |
unified carbon market carbon price EU member states EU ETS event study Environmental effects of industries and plants TD194-195 Renewable energy sources TJ807-830 Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
description |
Using the event study methodology, the paper studies the effects of 22 key events in countries’ process of entering and exiting the European Union on returns of European Union Allowance (EUA) future prices in the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The events include 17 entry events concerning the signing of relevant agreements, becoming a candidate or potential candidate country, the process of a negotiation and formally entering the EU, and five exit events including the process of Brexit and the suspension of Iceland. The results show that two entry events involving Albania and Ukraine, respectively, have a significant positive impact, and five entry events have a significant negative impact. Among the exit events, the announcement of the Brexit referendum results causes significant negative market reaction. Most events regarding small carbon emitters entering the EU lead to negative cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) of EUA prices, and a significant negative correlation between the countries’ annual average carbon emissions and CAR is found, while the change of national allocation plans does not affect the market reaction notably. In the process of establishing a unified carbon market, regulators should carry out appropriate policy arrangements of emission allowances allocation when new members join, in order to guide market expectations and enhance market stability. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Yue Xu Dayu Zhai |
author_facet |
Yue Xu Dayu Zhai |
author_sort |
Yue Xu |
title |
Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
title_short |
Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
title_full |
Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
title_fullStr |
Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of Changes in Membership on Prices of a Unified Carbon Market: Case Study of the European Union Emissions Trading System |
title_sort |
impact of changes in membership on prices of a unified carbon market: case study of the european union emissions trading system |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113806 https://doaj.org/article/5ae8ad4ad5f9438f811ed1c85638a5dd |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_source |
Sustainability, Vol 14, Iss 13806, p 13806 (2022) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/21/13806 https://doaj.org/toc/2071-1050 doi:10.3390/su142113806 2071-1050 https://doaj.org/article/5ae8ad4ad5f9438f811ed1c85638a5dd |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113806 |
container_title |
Sustainability |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
21 |
container_start_page |
13806 |
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1766041333093367808 |