Long-range forecast of residual ice area in the Arctic ocean in September

• Main Authors: Yulin A.V., Sharatunova M.V.
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English; Russian
• Published: LLC Center for Information and Legal Support for the Development of the Arctic 2018
• Subjects: arctic ocean; ice regime; area of residual ice; long-range forecasts; Geography (General); G1-922; Arctic; Arctic Ocean
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.24411/2658-4255-2018-00014; https://doaj.org/article/597730c39e274b2d993f6a356a327915

The opportunity of long term forecasting (5-8 months in advance) the area of residual ice which remains in the Arctic ocean in September after the summer melting is discussed in the paper. It is an important indicator which characterizes the expected difficulty of the navigation conditions in the Russian Arctic. The results of the forecast allow planning the marine activity at the North Sea Route as well as assessing the state of the climatic system «atmosphere – ice – ocean» in the next summer.