Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios
Global change effects have favoured the introduction of new species in marine ecosystems in recent years. Gracilaria vermiculophylla , a red seaweed native from the north-eastern Pacific, has successfully colonised large regions in the Northern Hemisphere. In this research, we implemented species di...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:585c181e11f64904a345e4fe1075ad30 2023-05-15T15:08:25+02:00 Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios Clara Mendoza-Segura Emilio Fernández Pedro Beca-Carretero 2023-02-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020367 https://doaj.org/article/585c181e11f64904a345e4fe1075ad30 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/367 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse11020367 2077-1312 https://doaj.org/article/585c181e11f64904a345e4fe1075ad30 Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 11, Iss 367, p 367 (2023) species distribution models (SDMs) climate change habitat expansion macroalgae warming salinity Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020367 2023-02-26T01:29:38Z Global change effects have favoured the introduction of new species in marine ecosystems in recent years. Gracilaria vermiculophylla , a red seaweed native from the north-eastern Pacific, has successfully colonised large regions in the Northern Hemisphere. In this research, we implemented species distribution models (SDMs) to (i) examine which were the most important environmental factors defining the presence of G. vermiculophylla at a global scale, and (ii) determine the potential current and future distribution of G. vermiculophylla based on two climate scenarios (representative concentration pathways (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5)). Our results suggest that temperature and salinity were the most important variables explaining the distribution of the target species. Additionally, the SDMs for present climate settings showed a potential wider distribution than is recorded to date. In addition, a subtle habitat expansion of 2.9° into higher latitudes was reported under the RCP 2.6 scenario by the end of this century. The high-carbon-emission scenario (RCP 8.5) delivered a potential large habitat expansion (6.0°), even reaching arctic latitudes, and a remarkable habitat loss of 11° in its southern distribution range. SMDs also forecasted suitable areas for this species in the Southern Hemisphere, pointing toward a potential global expansion in the coming decades. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Pacific Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 11 2 367 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
species distribution models (SDMs) climate change habitat expansion macroalgae warming salinity Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
spellingShingle |
species distribution models (SDMs) climate change habitat expansion macroalgae warming salinity Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 Clara Mendoza-Segura Emilio Fernández Pedro Beca-Carretero Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
topic_facet |
species distribution models (SDMs) climate change habitat expansion macroalgae warming salinity Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering VM1-989 Oceanography GC1-1581 |
description |
Global change effects have favoured the introduction of new species in marine ecosystems in recent years. Gracilaria vermiculophylla , a red seaweed native from the north-eastern Pacific, has successfully colonised large regions in the Northern Hemisphere. In this research, we implemented species distribution models (SDMs) to (i) examine which were the most important environmental factors defining the presence of G. vermiculophylla at a global scale, and (ii) determine the potential current and future distribution of G. vermiculophylla based on two climate scenarios (representative concentration pathways (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5)). Our results suggest that temperature and salinity were the most important variables explaining the distribution of the target species. Additionally, the SDMs for present climate settings showed a potential wider distribution than is recorded to date. In addition, a subtle habitat expansion of 2.9° into higher latitudes was reported under the RCP 2.6 scenario by the end of this century. The high-carbon-emission scenario (RCP 8.5) delivered a potential large habitat expansion (6.0°), even reaching arctic latitudes, and a remarkable habitat loss of 11° in its southern distribution range. SMDs also forecasted suitable areas for this species in the Southern Hemisphere, pointing toward a potential global expansion in the coming decades. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Clara Mendoza-Segura Emilio Fernández Pedro Beca-Carretero |
author_facet |
Clara Mendoza-Segura Emilio Fernández Pedro Beca-Carretero |
author_sort |
Clara Mendoza-Segura |
title |
Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
title_short |
Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
title_full |
Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
title_fullStr |
Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predicted Changes in the Biogeographical Range of Gracilaria vermiculophylla under Present and Future Climate Scenarios |
title_sort |
predicted changes in the biogeographical range of gracilaria vermiculophylla under present and future climate scenarios |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020367 https://doaj.org/article/585c181e11f64904a345e4fe1075ad30 |
geographic |
Arctic Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Pacific |
genre |
Arctic Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change |
op_source |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 11, Iss 367, p 367 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/2/367 https://doaj.org/toc/2077-1312 doi:10.3390/jmse11020367 2077-1312 https://doaj.org/article/585c181e11f64904a345e4fe1075ad30 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020367 |
container_title |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
container_volume |
11 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
367 |
_version_ |
1766339789494157312 |