Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP
The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for evaluation and analysis of Earth system models (ESMs), is designed to facilitate a more comprehensive and rapid comparison of single or multiple models participating in the Coupled Model Int...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:5415c03658f245abbdeeadc3c2ed9950 2023-05-15T13:11:56+02:00 Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP A. Lauer V. Eyring O. Bellprat L. Bock B. K. Gier A. Hunter R. Lorenz N. Pérez-Zanón M. Righi M. Schlund D. Senftleben K. Weigel S. Zechlau 2020-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 https://doaj.org/article/5415c03658f245abbdeeadc3c2ed9950 EN eng Copernicus Publications https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/4205/2020/gmd-13-4205-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1991-959X https://doaj.org/toc/1991-9603 doi:10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 1991-959X 1991-9603 https://doaj.org/article/5415c03658f245abbdeeadc3c2ed9950 Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 13, Pp 4205-4228 (2020) Geology QE1-996.5 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 2022-12-30T22:42:05Z The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for evaluation and analysis of Earth system models (ESMs), is designed to facilitate a more comprehensive and rapid comparison of single or multiple models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). The ESM results can be compared against observations or reanalysis data as well as against other models including predecessor versions of the same model. The updated and extended version (v2.0) of the ESMValTool includes several new analysis scripts such as large-scale diagnostics for evaluation of ESMs as well as diagnostics for extreme events, regional model and impact evaluation. In this paper, the newly implemented climate metrics such as effective climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR) as well as emergent constraints for various climate-relevant feedbacks and diagnostics for future projections from ESMs are described and illustrated with examples using results from the well-established model ensemble CMIP5. The emergent constraints implemented include constraints on ECS, snow-albedo effect, climate–carbon cycle feedback, hydrologic cycle intensification, future Indian summer monsoon precipitation and year of disappearance of summer Arctic sea ice. The diagnostics included in ESMValTool v2.0 to analyze future climate projections from ESMs further include analysis scripts to reproduce selected figures of chapter 12 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and various multi-model statistics. Article in Journal/Newspaper albedo Arctic Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Indian Geoscientific Model Development 13 9 4205 4228 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Geology QE1-996.5 |
spellingShingle |
Geology QE1-996.5 A. Lauer V. Eyring O. Bellprat L. Bock B. K. Gier A. Hunter R. Lorenz N. Pérez-Zanón M. Righi M. Schlund D. Senftleben K. Weigel S. Zechlau Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
topic_facet |
Geology QE1-996.5 |
description |
The Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for evaluation and analysis of Earth system models (ESMs), is designed to facilitate a more comprehensive and rapid comparison of single or multiple models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). The ESM results can be compared against observations or reanalysis data as well as against other models including predecessor versions of the same model. The updated and extended version (v2.0) of the ESMValTool includes several new analysis scripts such as large-scale diagnostics for evaluation of ESMs as well as diagnostics for extreme events, regional model and impact evaluation. In this paper, the newly implemented climate metrics such as effective climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR) as well as emergent constraints for various climate-relevant feedbacks and diagnostics for future projections from ESMs are described and illustrated with examples using results from the well-established model ensemble CMIP5. The emergent constraints implemented include constraints on ECS, snow-albedo effect, climate–carbon cycle feedback, hydrologic cycle intensification, future Indian summer monsoon precipitation and year of disappearance of summer Arctic sea ice. The diagnostics included in ESMValTool v2.0 to analyze future climate projections from ESMs further include analysis scripts to reproduce selected figures of chapter 12 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and various multi-model statistics. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
A. Lauer V. Eyring O. Bellprat L. Bock B. K. Gier A. Hunter R. Lorenz N. Pérez-Zanón M. Righi M. Schlund D. Senftleben K. Weigel S. Zechlau |
author_facet |
A. Lauer V. Eyring O. Bellprat L. Bock B. K. Gier A. Hunter R. Lorenz N. Pérez-Zanón M. Righi M. Schlund D. Senftleben K. Weigel S. Zechlau |
author_sort |
A. Lauer |
title |
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
title_short |
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
title_full |
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
title_fullStr |
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
title_full_unstemmed |
Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP |
title_sort |
earth system model evaluation tool (esmvaltool) v2.0 – diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from earth system models in cmip |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 https://doaj.org/article/5415c03658f245abbdeeadc3c2ed9950 |
geographic |
Arctic Indian |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Indian |
genre |
albedo Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
albedo Arctic Sea ice |
op_source |
Geoscientific Model Development, Vol 13, Pp 4205-4228 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/4205/2020/gmd-13-4205-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1991-959X https://doaj.org/toc/1991-9603 doi:10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 1991-959X 1991-9603 https://doaj.org/article/5415c03658f245abbdeeadc3c2ed9950 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4205-2020 |
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Geoscientific Model Development |
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13 |
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9 |
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4205 |
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4228 |
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