Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios
Aeolesthes sarta or Trirachys sarta is a polyphagous long-horned beetle that has caused severe damage to the Populus alba forests/plantations in its regions of origin. Climate change could accelerate the introduction and spread of invasive pest species, potentially causing ecological damage and econ...
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MDPI AG
2023
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:50394944c20a41949b84099373966757 2023-07-23T04:14:18+02:00 Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios Umer Hayat Sumeet Kour Muhammad Akram Juan Shi Rinto Wiarta 2023-06-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/f14061260 https://doaj.org/article/50394944c20a41949b84099373966757 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/6/1260 https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 doi:10.3390/f14061260 1999-4907 https://doaj.org/article/50394944c20a41949b84099373966757 Forests, Vol 14, Iss 1260, p 1260 (2023) Aeolesthes sarta Trirachys sarta Populus alba CLIMEX climate change A1B–A2 scenarios Plant ecology QK900-989 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/f14061260 2023-07-02T00:38:19Z Aeolesthes sarta or Trirachys sarta is a polyphagous long-horned beetle that has caused severe damage to the Populus alba forests/plantations in its regions of origin. Climate change could accelerate the introduction and spread of invasive pest species, potentially causing ecological damage and economic losses. Furthermore, globalization and increased trade can inadvertently transport pests across borders into regions where they do not already occur. Hence, it is crucial to identify areas where the climate is most suitable for the establishment of A. sarta ’s and which areas of the world are suitable for the growth of P. alba under climate change scenarios. This study employed the CLIMEX model to estimate the potential global distribution of A. sarta and its correlation with its dominant host, P. alba , under current climatic conditions and potential future scenarios, namely the A1B and A2 climate change scenarios (CCSs). Under current climatic conditions, the model indicates that the establishment of a climatically suitable habitat for A. sarta extends beyond its current known range. The model estimated that, under the world’s current climatic conditions, 41.06% of the world can provide suitable areas (EI > 0) for the survival of A. sarta . For P. alba , under the current climatic conditions, suitable regions for the growth of P. alba are present in all continents (excluding Antarctica); under the world’s current climatic conditions, 53.52% of the world can provide suitable areas for the growth of P. alba (EI > 0). Climate change will significantly alter the number of suitable habitats for A. sarta development and P. alba growth globally. In future climatic conditions, the number areas capable of supplying suitable habitats (EI > 0) for A. sarta will slightly decrease to 40.14% (under A1B and A2 CCSs), while, for P. alba , the number areas capable of supplying suitable habitats will also marginally decrease to 50.39% (under A1B scenario), and this figure is estimated to drop to 48.41% (under A2 ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Forests 14 6 1260 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Aeolesthes sarta Trirachys sarta Populus alba CLIMEX climate change A1B–A2 scenarios Plant ecology QK900-989 |
spellingShingle |
Aeolesthes sarta Trirachys sarta Populus alba CLIMEX climate change A1B–A2 scenarios Plant ecology QK900-989 Umer Hayat Sumeet Kour Muhammad Akram Juan Shi Rinto Wiarta Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
topic_facet |
Aeolesthes sarta Trirachys sarta Populus alba CLIMEX climate change A1B–A2 scenarios Plant ecology QK900-989 |
description |
Aeolesthes sarta or Trirachys sarta is a polyphagous long-horned beetle that has caused severe damage to the Populus alba forests/plantations in its regions of origin. Climate change could accelerate the introduction and spread of invasive pest species, potentially causing ecological damage and economic losses. Furthermore, globalization and increased trade can inadvertently transport pests across borders into regions where they do not already occur. Hence, it is crucial to identify areas where the climate is most suitable for the establishment of A. sarta ’s and which areas of the world are suitable for the growth of P. alba under climate change scenarios. This study employed the CLIMEX model to estimate the potential global distribution of A. sarta and its correlation with its dominant host, P. alba , under current climatic conditions and potential future scenarios, namely the A1B and A2 climate change scenarios (CCSs). Under current climatic conditions, the model indicates that the establishment of a climatically suitable habitat for A. sarta extends beyond its current known range. The model estimated that, under the world’s current climatic conditions, 41.06% of the world can provide suitable areas (EI > 0) for the survival of A. sarta . For P. alba , under the current climatic conditions, suitable regions for the growth of P. alba are present in all continents (excluding Antarctica); under the world’s current climatic conditions, 53.52% of the world can provide suitable areas for the growth of P. alba (EI > 0). Climate change will significantly alter the number of suitable habitats for A. sarta development and P. alba growth globally. In future climatic conditions, the number areas capable of supplying suitable habitats (EI > 0) for A. sarta will slightly decrease to 40.14% (under A1B and A2 CCSs), while, for P. alba , the number areas capable of supplying suitable habitats will also marginally decrease to 50.39% (under A1B scenario), and this figure is estimated to drop to 48.41% (under A2 ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Umer Hayat Sumeet Kour Muhammad Akram Juan Shi Rinto Wiarta |
author_facet |
Umer Hayat Sumeet Kour Muhammad Akram Juan Shi Rinto Wiarta |
author_sort |
Umer Hayat |
title |
Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
title_short |
Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
title_full |
Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
title_fullStr |
Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessing the Global Pest Risk of Aeolesthes sarta with Regards to the Host Specie Populus alba under Climate Change Scenarios |
title_sort |
assessing the global pest risk of aeolesthes sarta with regards to the host specie populus alba under climate change scenarios |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/f14061260 https://doaj.org/article/50394944c20a41949b84099373966757 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_source |
Forests, Vol 14, Iss 1260, p 1260 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/6/1260 https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 doi:10.3390/f14061260 1999-4907 https://doaj.org/article/50394944c20a41949b84099373966757 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/f14061260 |
container_title |
Forests |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
6 |
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1260 |
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1772183999650725888 |