Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia.
Anthrax is a worldwide zoonotic disease. Anthrax has long been a public health and socio-economic issue in Mongolia. Presently, there is no spatial information on carcass burial sites as a potential hazard of future anthrax outbreaks and possible risk factors associated with anthrax occurrences in M...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4e4c8a7520bd4be1af7e8790db61afef 2023-05-15T17:57:58+02:00 Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. Tuvshinzaya Zorigt Satoshi Ito Norikazu Isoda Yoshikazu Furuta Misheck Shawa Natsagdorj Norov Baasansuren Lkham Jargalsaikhan Enkhtuya Hideaki Higashi 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/article/4e4c8a7520bd4be1af7e8790db61afef EN eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/article/4e4c8a7520bd4be1af7e8790db61afef PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11, p e0260299 (2021) Medicine R Science Q article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 2022-12-30T20:37:35Z Anthrax is a worldwide zoonotic disease. Anthrax has long been a public health and socio-economic issue in Mongolia. Presently, there is no spatial information on carcass burial sites as a potential hazard of future anthrax outbreaks and possible risk factors associated with anthrax occurrences in Mongolia. Here, we analyze retrospective data (1986-2015) on the disposal sites of livestock carcasses to describe historical spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, which showed the highest anthrax incidence rate in Mongolia. From the results of spatial mean and standard deviational ellipse analyses, we found that the anthrax spatial distribution in livestock did not change over the study period, indicating a localized source of exposure. The multi-distance spatial cluster analysis showed that carcass sites distributed in the study area are clustered. Using kernel density estimation analysis on carcass sites, we identified two anthrax hotspots in low-lying areas around the south and north regions. Notably, this study disclosed a new hotspot in the northern part that emerged in the last decade of the 30-year study period. The highest proportion of cases was recorded in cattle, whose prevalence per area was highest in six districts (i.e., Murun, Chandmani-Undur, Khatgal, Ikh-Uul, Tosontsengel, and Tsagaan-Uul), suggesting that vaccination should prioritize cattle in these districts. Furthermore, size of outbreaks was influenced by the annual summer mean air temperature of Khuvsgul Province, probably by affecting the permafrost freeze-thawing activity. Article in Journal/Newspaper permafrost Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles PLOS ONE 16 11 e0260299 |
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Medicine R Science Q |
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Medicine R Science Q Tuvshinzaya Zorigt Satoshi Ito Norikazu Isoda Yoshikazu Furuta Misheck Shawa Natsagdorj Norov Baasansuren Lkham Jargalsaikhan Enkhtuya Hideaki Higashi Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
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Medicine R Science Q |
description |
Anthrax is a worldwide zoonotic disease. Anthrax has long been a public health and socio-economic issue in Mongolia. Presently, there is no spatial information on carcass burial sites as a potential hazard of future anthrax outbreaks and possible risk factors associated with anthrax occurrences in Mongolia. Here, we analyze retrospective data (1986-2015) on the disposal sites of livestock carcasses to describe historical spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, which showed the highest anthrax incidence rate in Mongolia. From the results of spatial mean and standard deviational ellipse analyses, we found that the anthrax spatial distribution in livestock did not change over the study period, indicating a localized source of exposure. The multi-distance spatial cluster analysis showed that carcass sites distributed in the study area are clustered. Using kernel density estimation analysis on carcass sites, we identified two anthrax hotspots in low-lying areas around the south and north regions. Notably, this study disclosed a new hotspot in the northern part that emerged in the last decade of the 30-year study period. The highest proportion of cases was recorded in cattle, whose prevalence per area was highest in six districts (i.e., Murun, Chandmani-Undur, Khatgal, Ikh-Uul, Tosontsengel, and Tsagaan-Uul), suggesting that vaccination should prioritize cattle in these districts. Furthermore, size of outbreaks was influenced by the annual summer mean air temperature of Khuvsgul Province, probably by affecting the permafrost freeze-thawing activity. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Tuvshinzaya Zorigt Satoshi Ito Norikazu Isoda Yoshikazu Furuta Misheck Shawa Natsagdorj Norov Baasansuren Lkham Jargalsaikhan Enkhtuya Hideaki Higashi |
author_facet |
Tuvshinzaya Zorigt Satoshi Ito Norikazu Isoda Yoshikazu Furuta Misheck Shawa Natsagdorj Norov Baasansuren Lkham Jargalsaikhan Enkhtuya Hideaki Higashi |
author_sort |
Tuvshinzaya Zorigt |
title |
Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
title_short |
Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
title_full |
Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
title_fullStr |
Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in Khuvsgul Province, Mongolia. |
title_sort |
risk factors and spatio-temporal patterns of livestock anthrax in khuvsgul province, mongolia. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/article/4e4c8a7520bd4be1af7e8790db61afef |
genre |
permafrost |
genre_facet |
permafrost |
op_source |
PLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11, p e0260299 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 https://doaj.org/article/4e4c8a7520bd4be1af7e8790db61afef |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260299 |
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PLOS ONE |
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16 |
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11 |
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e0260299 |
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