HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomi...
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Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4a4d9199b766487ea74d815e20b66d55 2024-09-09T19:26:57+00:00 HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 Tiegang Li Zhicong Yang Xiangyi Liu Yan Kang Ming Wang 2014-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 https://doaj.org/article/4a4d9199b766487ea74d815e20b66d55 EN eng Universidade de São Paulo (USP) http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0036-46652014000600533&lng=en&tlng=en https://doaj.org/toc/1678-9946 1678-9946 doi:10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 https://doaj.org/article/4a4d9199b766487ea74d815e20b66d55 Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo, Vol 56, Iss 6, Pp 533-539 (2014) Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) Epidemiology Meteorological variables Correlation analysis Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 article 2014 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 2024-08-05T17:49:30Z Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomial regression to identify the epidemic status of HFMD and its relationship with meteorological variables. During 2008-2012, a total of 173,524 HFMD confirmed cases were reported, 12 cases of death, yielding a fatality rate of 0.69 per 10,000. The annual incidence rates from 2008 to 2012 were 60.56, 132.44, 311.40, 402.76, and 468.59 (per 100,000), respectively, showing a rapid increasing trend. Each 1 °C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9.47% (95% CI 9.36% to 9.58%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a one hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 7.53% (95% CI -7.60% to -7.45%). Similarly, each one percent rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.48% or 3.3%, and a one meter per hour rise in wind speed corresponded to an increase of 2.18% or 4.57%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. These findings revealed that epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on the incidence of HFMD. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo 56 6 533 539 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) Epidemiology Meteorological variables Correlation analysis Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 |
spellingShingle |
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) Epidemiology Meteorological variables Correlation analysis Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 Tiegang Li Zhicong Yang Xiangyi Liu Yan Kang Ming Wang HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
topic_facet |
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) Epidemiology Meteorological variables Correlation analysis Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Infectious and parasitic diseases RC109-216 |
description |
Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomial regression to identify the epidemic status of HFMD and its relationship with meteorological variables. During 2008-2012, a total of 173,524 HFMD confirmed cases were reported, 12 cases of death, yielding a fatality rate of 0.69 per 10,000. The annual incidence rates from 2008 to 2012 were 60.56, 132.44, 311.40, 402.76, and 468.59 (per 100,000), respectively, showing a rapid increasing trend. Each 1 °C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9.47% (95% CI 9.36% to 9.58%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a one hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 7.53% (95% CI -7.60% to -7.45%). Similarly, each one percent rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.48% or 3.3%, and a one meter per hour rise in wind speed corresponded to an increase of 2.18% or 4.57%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. These findings revealed that epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on the incidence of HFMD. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Tiegang Li Zhicong Yang Xiangyi Liu Yan Kang Ming Wang |
author_facet |
Tiegang Li Zhicong Yang Xiangyi Liu Yan Kang Ming Wang |
author_sort |
Tiegang Li |
title |
HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title_short |
HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title_full |
HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title_fullStr |
HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title_full_unstemmed |
HAND-FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STATUS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN GUANGZHOU, SOUTHERN CHINA, 2008-2012 |
title_sort |
hand-foot-and-mouth disease epidemiological status and relationship with meteorological variables in guangzhou, southern china, 2008-2012 |
publisher |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
publishDate |
2014 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 https://doaj.org/article/4a4d9199b766487ea74d815e20b66d55 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo, Vol 56, Iss 6, Pp 533-539 (2014) |
op_relation |
http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0036-46652014000600533&lng=en&tlng=en https://doaj.org/toc/1678-9946 1678-9946 doi:10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 https://doaj.org/article/4a4d9199b766487ea74d815e20b66d55 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0036-46652014000600014 |
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Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo |
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56 |
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533 |
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