Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation
Modeling results of the impact of sea surface temperature and sea ice extent changes over the last decades on the formation of weather and climate anomalies are presented. It was found that the Arctic sea ice area reduction may lead to anti-cyclonic regimes’ formation causing anomalously cold winter...
Published in: | Ice and Snow |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | Russian |
Published: |
Nauka
2015
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 https://doaj.org/article/4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c 2023-05-15T14:29:13+02:00 Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation I. I. Mokhov V. A. Semenov V. Ch. Khon F. A. Pogarsky 2015-04-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 https://doaj.org/article/4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c RU rus Nauka https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/101 https://doaj.org/toc/2076-6734 https://doaj.org/toc/2412-3765 2076-6734 2412-3765 doi:10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 https://doaj.org/article/4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c Лëд и снег, Vol 53, Iss 2, Pp 53-62 (2015) arctic climate modeling natural and anthropogenic changes sea ice Science Q article 2015 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 2023-03-19T01:40:13Z Modeling results of the impact of sea surface temperature and sea ice extent changes over the last decades on the formation of weather and climate anomalies are presented. It was found that the Arctic sea ice area reduction may lead to anti-cyclonic regimes’ formation causing anomalously cold winters in particular on the Russian territory. Using simulation with an atmospheric general circulation model, it is shown that the Early 20th Century Warming must have been accompanied by a large negative Arctic sea ice area anomaly in winter time. The results imply a considerable role of long-term natural climate variations in the modern sea ice area decrease. Estimates of the possible probability’s changes of the dangerous events of strong winds and high waves in the Arctic basin and favorable navigation conditions for the Northern Sea Route in the 21st century are made based on numerical model calculations. An increase of extreme wave height is found to the middle of the 21st century for Kara and Chukchi Seas as a consequence of prolonged run length and increased surface winds. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Basin Arctic Chukchi Northern Sea Route Sea ice Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Ice and Snow 122 2 53 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
Russian |
topic |
arctic climate modeling natural and anthropogenic changes sea ice Science Q |
spellingShingle |
arctic climate modeling natural and anthropogenic changes sea ice Science Q I. I. Mokhov V. A. Semenov V. Ch. Khon F. A. Pogarsky Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
topic_facet |
arctic climate modeling natural and anthropogenic changes sea ice Science Q |
description |
Modeling results of the impact of sea surface temperature and sea ice extent changes over the last decades on the formation of weather and climate anomalies are presented. It was found that the Arctic sea ice area reduction may lead to anti-cyclonic regimes’ formation causing anomalously cold winters in particular on the Russian territory. Using simulation with an atmospheric general circulation model, it is shown that the Early 20th Century Warming must have been accompanied by a large negative Arctic sea ice area anomaly in winter time. The results imply a considerable role of long-term natural climate variations in the modern sea ice area decrease. Estimates of the possible probability’s changes of the dangerous events of strong winds and high waves in the Arctic basin and favorable navigation conditions for the Northern Sea Route in the 21st century are made based on numerical model calculations. An increase of extreme wave height is found to the middle of the 21st century for Kara and Chukchi Seas as a consequence of prolonged run length and increased surface winds. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
I. I. Mokhov V. A. Semenov V. Ch. Khon F. A. Pogarsky |
author_facet |
I. I. Mokhov V. A. Semenov V. Ch. Khon F. A. Pogarsky |
author_sort |
I. I. Mokhov |
title |
Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
title_short |
Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
title_full |
Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
title_fullStr |
Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Change of sea ice content in the Arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
title_sort |
change of sea ice content in the arctic and the associated climatic effects: detection and simulation |
publisher |
Nauka |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 https://doaj.org/article/4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Basin Arctic Chukchi Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Basin Arctic Chukchi Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
op_source |
Лëд и снег, Vol 53, Iss 2, Pp 53-62 (2015) |
op_relation |
https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/101 https://doaj.org/toc/2076-6734 https://doaj.org/toc/2412-3765 2076-6734 2412-3765 doi:10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 https://doaj.org/article/4a32ee9f7bfd4c708a1be94090443b1c |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.15356/2076-6734-2013-2-53-62 |
container_title |
Ice and Snow |
container_volume |
122 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
53 |
_version_ |
1766303291376926720 |