Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change
Permafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d 2023-05-15T17:55:25+02:00 Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov 2022-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/en15030879 https://doaj.org/article/4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/879 https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073 doi:10.3390/en15030879 1996-1073 https://doaj.org/article/4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d Energies, Vol 15, Iss 879, p 879 (2022) permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability Technology T article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/en15030879 2022-12-30T20:36:26Z Permafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards estimation. The risk is determined by the hazard probability and the vulnerability of infrastructure elements. The hazard does not have integral indicators, but is determined by separate spatial and temporal characteristics. The spatial characteristics include the ground’s physical and cryolithological features that are linked with the history of the permafrost. The temporal characteristics are associated with the future evolution of the climate and anthropogenic pressures. The geocryological monitoring content and geocryological forecasting are interdependent and should be implemented together. The adaptation recommendations are based on the analytical algorithms and use the results of permafrost monitoring and permafrost state forecasting. The development of an adaptation program is a recognition of the company’s responsibility for the sustainable development of resource management territories. Risk management uses the methods of the flexible ground temperature regime management. Article in Journal/Newspaper permafrost Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Energies 15 3 879 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability Technology T |
spellingShingle |
permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability Technology T Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
topic_facet |
permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability Technology T |
description |
Permafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards estimation. The risk is determined by the hazard probability and the vulnerability of infrastructure elements. The hazard does not have integral indicators, but is determined by separate spatial and temporal characteristics. The spatial characteristics include the ground’s physical and cryolithological features that are linked with the history of the permafrost. The temporal characteristics are associated with the future evolution of the climate and anthropogenic pressures. The geocryological monitoring content and geocryological forecasting are interdependent and should be implemented together. The adaptation recommendations are based on the analytical algorithms and use the results of permafrost monitoring and permafrost state forecasting. The development of an adaptation program is a recognition of the company’s responsibility for the sustainable development of resource management territories. Risk management uses the methods of the flexible ground temperature regime management. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov |
author_facet |
Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov |
author_sort |
Victor Osipov |
title |
Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
title_short |
Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
title_full |
Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
title_fullStr |
Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
title_sort |
using the data of geocryological monitoring and geocryological forecast for risk assessment and adaptation to climate change |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en15030879 https://doaj.org/article/4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d |
genre |
permafrost |
genre_facet |
permafrost |
op_source |
Energies, Vol 15, Iss 879, p 879 (2022) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/879 https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073 doi:10.3390/en15030879 1996-1073 https://doaj.org/article/4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en15030879 |
container_title |
Energies |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
879 |
_version_ |
1766163350811574272 |