On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes
Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their e...
Published in: | Ecological Indicators |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
2022
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 https://doaj.org/article/4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 2023-05-15T15:36:20+02:00 On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes Katharina J. Peters Karen A. Stockin Frédérik Saltré 2022-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 https://doaj.org/article/4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 EN eng Elsevier http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22007075 https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160X 1470-160X doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 https://doaj.org/article/4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 Ecological Indicators, Vol 142, Iss , Pp 109235- (2022) Model Ensemble forecasting Physeter macrocephalus Balaenoptera musculus Habitat suitability Range shift Ocean warming Ecology QH540-549.5 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 2022-12-31T00:51:12Z Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their extended life span and cosmopolitan distribution, but limited data availability prevents anticipating change in distribution under future climate changes. We projected the range shifts of a key odontocete and mysticete species (Physeter macrocephalus and Balaenoptera musculus) in 2100 relative to present day in New Zealand waters, using an ensemble modelling approach, under three climate change scenarios of different severity.The results show a latitudinal shift in suitable habitat for both whale species, increasing in magnitude with severity of sea surface temperature warming. The most severe climate change scenario tested generated 56% and 42% loss and decrease of currently suitable habitat for sperm and blue whales, respectively, mostly in New Zealand’s northern waters. These predicted changes will have a strong impact on the ecosystem functioning and services in New Zealand’s northern waters but also in coastal areas (critical for the species’ foraging and survival). Not only do these simulated range shifts help to identify future potential climate refugia to mitigate a global warming, they also generate a range of socioeconomic consequences for island nations relying on wildlife tourism, industry, and environmental protection. Article in Journal/Newspaper Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles New Zealand Ecological Indicators 142 109235 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Model Ensemble forecasting Physeter macrocephalus Balaenoptera musculus Habitat suitability Range shift Ocean warming Ecology QH540-549.5 |
spellingShingle |
Model Ensemble forecasting Physeter macrocephalus Balaenoptera musculus Habitat suitability Range shift Ocean warming Ecology QH540-549.5 Katharina J. Peters Karen A. Stockin Frédérik Saltré On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
topic_facet |
Model Ensemble forecasting Physeter macrocephalus Balaenoptera musculus Habitat suitability Range shift Ocean warming Ecology QH540-549.5 |
description |
Climate impacts affect marine ecosystems worldwide with island nations such as New Zealand being extremely vulnerable because of their socio-economic and cultural dependence on the marine and costal environment. Cetaceans are ideal indicator species of ecosystem change and ocean health given their extended life span and cosmopolitan distribution, but limited data availability prevents anticipating change in distribution under future climate changes. We projected the range shifts of a key odontocete and mysticete species (Physeter macrocephalus and Balaenoptera musculus) in 2100 relative to present day in New Zealand waters, using an ensemble modelling approach, under three climate change scenarios of different severity.The results show a latitudinal shift in suitable habitat for both whale species, increasing in magnitude with severity of sea surface temperature warming. The most severe climate change scenario tested generated 56% and 42% loss and decrease of currently suitable habitat for sperm and blue whales, respectively, mostly in New Zealand’s northern waters. These predicted changes will have a strong impact on the ecosystem functioning and services in New Zealand’s northern waters but also in coastal areas (critical for the species’ foraging and survival). Not only do these simulated range shifts help to identify future potential climate refugia to mitigate a global warming, they also generate a range of socioeconomic consequences for island nations relying on wildlife tourism, industry, and environmental protection. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Katharina J. Peters Karen A. Stockin Frédérik Saltré |
author_facet |
Katharina J. Peters Karen A. Stockin Frédérik Saltré |
author_sort |
Katharina J. Peters |
title |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_short |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_full |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_fullStr |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the rise: Climate change in New Zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
title_sort |
on the rise: climate change in new zealand will cause sperm and blue whales to seek higher latitudes |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 https://doaj.org/article/4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 |
geographic |
New Zealand |
geographic_facet |
New Zealand |
genre |
Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus |
genre_facet |
Balaenoptera musculus Physeter macrocephalus |
op_source |
Ecological Indicators, Vol 142, Iss , Pp 109235- (2022) |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X22007075 https://doaj.org/toc/1470-160X 1470-160X doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 https://doaj.org/article/4977d4f3ca044665967b301e5be323e0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109235 |
container_title |
Ecological Indicators |
container_volume |
142 |
container_start_page |
109235 |
_version_ |
1766366678545858560 |