Estimating the Annual Exceedance Probability of Water Levels and Wave Heights from High Resolution Coupled Wave-Circulation Models in Long Island Sound

• Published in: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
• Main Authors: Chang Liu, Yan Jia, Yaprak Onat, Alejandro Cifuentes-Lorenzen, Amin Ilia, Grant McCardell, Todd Fake, James O’Donnell
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: MDPI AG 2020
• Subjects: extremal analysis; probability distribution; return interval; storm surge; FVCOM; Naval architecture. Shipbuilding. Marine engineering; VM1-989; Oceanography; GC1-1581; Long Island; Long Island Sound; North Atlantic
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse8070475; https://doaj.org/article/4406275f5a6e4987b5e0fc6121b13687

Accurately estimating the probability of storm surge occurrences is necessary for flood risk assessments. This research models Long Island Sound using a coupled coastal circulation and wave model (FVCOM-SWAVE) to hindcast the 44 highest storms between 1950–2018 and fitted Poisson-GPD distributions t...