Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data
Studies indicate greenhouse gas emissions following permafrost thaw will amplify current rates of atmospheric warming, a process referred to as the permafrost carbon feedback. However, large uncertainties exist regarding the timing and magnitude of the permafrost carbon feedback, in part due to unce...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:42fb65b5f30346ea8705f49588a0ba7a 2023-05-15T15:15:24+02:00 Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data E. E. Jafarov D. R. Harp E. T. Coon B. Dafflon A. P. Tran A. L. Atchley Y. Lin C. J. Wilson 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 https://doaj.org/article/42fb65b5f30346ea8705f49588a0ba7a EN eng Copernicus Publications https://www.the-cryosphere.net/14/77/2020/tc-14-77-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1994-0416 https://doaj.org/toc/1994-0424 doi:10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 1994-0416 1994-0424 https://doaj.org/article/42fb65b5f30346ea8705f49588a0ba7a The Cryosphere, Vol 14, Pp 77-91 (2020) Environmental sciences GE1-350 Geology QE1-996.5 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 2022-12-30T21:00:47Z Studies indicate greenhouse gas emissions following permafrost thaw will amplify current rates of atmospheric warming, a process referred to as the permafrost carbon feedback. However, large uncertainties exist regarding the timing and magnitude of the permafrost carbon feedback, in part due to uncertainties associated with subsurface permafrost parameterization and structure. Development of robust parameter estimation methods for permafrost-rich soils is becoming urgent under accelerated warming of the Arctic. Improved parameterization of the subsurface properties in land system models would lead to improved predictions and a reduction of modeling uncertainty. In this work we set the groundwork for future parameter estimation (PE) studies by developing and evaluating a joint PE algorithm that estimates soil porosities and thermal conductivities from time series of soil temperature and moisture measurements and discrete in-time electrical resistivity measurements. The algorithm utilizes the Model-Independent Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis toolbox and coupled hydrological–thermal–geophysical modeling. We test the PE algorithm against synthetic data, providing a proof of concept for the approach. We use specified subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities and coupled models to set up a synthetic state, perturb the parameters, and then verify that our PE method is able to recover the parameters and synthetic state. To evaluate the accuracy and robustness of the approach we perform multiple tests for a perturbed set of initial starting parameter combinations. In addition, we varied types and quantities of data to better understand the optimal dataset needed to improve the PE method. The results of the PE tests suggest that using multiple types of data improve the overall robustness of the method. Our numerical experiments indicate that special care needs to be taken during the field experiment setup so that (1) the vertical distance between adjacent measurement sensors allows the signal ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic permafrost The Cryosphere Tundra Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic The Cryosphere 14 1 77 91 |
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Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 Geology QE1-996.5 |
spellingShingle |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 Geology QE1-996.5 E. E. Jafarov D. R. Harp E. T. Coon B. Dafflon A. P. Tran A. L. Atchley Y. Lin C. J. Wilson Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
topic_facet |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 Geology QE1-996.5 |
description |
Studies indicate greenhouse gas emissions following permafrost thaw will amplify current rates of atmospheric warming, a process referred to as the permafrost carbon feedback. However, large uncertainties exist regarding the timing and magnitude of the permafrost carbon feedback, in part due to uncertainties associated with subsurface permafrost parameterization and structure. Development of robust parameter estimation methods for permafrost-rich soils is becoming urgent under accelerated warming of the Arctic. Improved parameterization of the subsurface properties in land system models would lead to improved predictions and a reduction of modeling uncertainty. In this work we set the groundwork for future parameter estimation (PE) studies by developing and evaluating a joint PE algorithm that estimates soil porosities and thermal conductivities from time series of soil temperature and moisture measurements and discrete in-time electrical resistivity measurements. The algorithm utilizes the Model-Independent Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis toolbox and coupled hydrological–thermal–geophysical modeling. We test the PE algorithm against synthetic data, providing a proof of concept for the approach. We use specified subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities and coupled models to set up a synthetic state, perturb the parameters, and then verify that our PE method is able to recover the parameters and synthetic state. To evaluate the accuracy and robustness of the approach we perform multiple tests for a perturbed set of initial starting parameter combinations. In addition, we varied types and quantities of data to better understand the optimal dataset needed to improve the PE method. The results of the PE tests suggest that using multiple types of data improve the overall robustness of the method. Our numerical experiments indicate that special care needs to be taken during the field experiment setup so that (1) the vertical distance between adjacent measurement sensors allows the signal ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
E. E. Jafarov D. R. Harp E. T. Coon B. Dafflon A. P. Tran A. L. Atchley Y. Lin C. J. Wilson |
author_facet |
E. E. Jafarov D. R. Harp E. T. Coon B. Dafflon A. P. Tran A. L. Atchley Y. Lin C. J. Wilson |
author_sort |
E. E. Jafarov |
title |
Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
title_short |
Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
title_full |
Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
title_fullStr |
Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
title_sort |
estimation of subsurface porosities and thermal conductivities of polygonal tundra by coupled inversion of electrical resistivity, temperature, and moisture content data |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 https://doaj.org/article/42fb65b5f30346ea8705f49588a0ba7a |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic permafrost The Cryosphere Tundra |
genre_facet |
Arctic permafrost The Cryosphere Tundra |
op_source |
The Cryosphere, Vol 14, Pp 77-91 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://www.the-cryosphere.net/14/77/2020/tc-14-77-2020.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/1994-0416 https://doaj.org/toc/1994-0424 doi:10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 1994-0416 1994-0424 https://doaj.org/article/42fb65b5f30346ea8705f49588a0ba7a |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-77-2020 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
77 |
op_container_end_page |
91 |
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1766345769653108736 |