Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine
The available ice out (the date of disappearance of ice from a water body) records were analyzed from four relatively closely spaced lakes in southwestern New Brunswick (Harvey, Oromocto, Skiff) and eastern Maine (West Grand Lake), with the longest set of available observations being for Oromocto La...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:3c6d3258b17841d987d850960269d04d 2024-01-07T09:45:12+01:00 Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine Carling R. Walsh R. Timothy Patterson 2022-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13741 https://doaj.org/article/3c6d3258b17841d987d850960269d04d EN eng PeerJ Inc. https://peerj.com/articles/13741.pdf https://peerj.com/articles/13741/ https://doaj.org/toc/2167-8359 doi:10.7717/peerj.13741 2167-8359 https://doaj.org/article/3c6d3258b17841d987d850960269d04d PeerJ, Vol 10, p e13741 (2022) Lake ice out phenology Climate teleconnections Climate change Time series analysis Eastern North America Medicine R Biology (General) QH301-705.5 article 2022 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13741 2023-12-10T01:46:51Z The available ice out (the date of disappearance of ice from a water body) records were analyzed from four relatively closely spaced lakes in southwestern New Brunswick (Harvey, Oromocto, Skiff) and eastern Maine (West Grand Lake), with the longest set of available observations being for Oromocto Lake starting in 1876. Results of a coherence analysis carried out on the ice out data from the four lakes indicates that there is regional coherence and correspondingly, that regional drivers influence ice out. These results also indicate that ice out dates for lakes from the region where records have not been kept can also be interpolated from these results. As the ice out record was coherent, further analysis was done for only Oromocto Lake on the basis of it having the longest ice out record. Cross-wavelet analysis was carried out between the ice out record and a variety of cyclic climate teleconnections and the sunspot record to identify which phenomena best explain the observed ice out trends. The most important observed contributors to ice out were the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with observed periodicities at the interannual scale. At the decadal scale the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the 11-year solar cycle were the only patterns observed to significantly contribute to ice out. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Four Lakes ENVELOPE(-126.826,-126.826,54.858,54.858) Pacific PeerJ 10 e13741 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Lake ice out phenology Climate teleconnections Climate change Time series analysis Eastern North America Medicine R Biology (General) QH301-705.5 |
spellingShingle |
Lake ice out phenology Climate teleconnections Climate change Time series analysis Eastern North America Medicine R Biology (General) QH301-705.5 Carling R. Walsh R. Timothy Patterson Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
topic_facet |
Lake ice out phenology Climate teleconnections Climate change Time series analysis Eastern North America Medicine R Biology (General) QH301-705.5 |
description |
The available ice out (the date of disappearance of ice from a water body) records were analyzed from four relatively closely spaced lakes in southwestern New Brunswick (Harvey, Oromocto, Skiff) and eastern Maine (West Grand Lake), with the longest set of available observations being for Oromocto Lake starting in 1876. Results of a coherence analysis carried out on the ice out data from the four lakes indicates that there is regional coherence and correspondingly, that regional drivers influence ice out. These results also indicate that ice out dates for lakes from the region where records have not been kept can also be interpolated from these results. As the ice out record was coherent, further analysis was done for only Oromocto Lake on the basis of it having the longest ice out record. Cross-wavelet analysis was carried out between the ice out record and a variety of cyclic climate teleconnections and the sunspot record to identify which phenomena best explain the observed ice out trends. The most important observed contributors to ice out were the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with observed periodicities at the interannual scale. At the decadal scale the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the 11-year solar cycle were the only patterns observed to significantly contribute to ice out. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Carling R. Walsh R. Timothy Patterson |
author_facet |
Carling R. Walsh R. Timothy Patterson |
author_sort |
Carling R. Walsh |
title |
Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
title_short |
Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
title_full |
Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
title_fullStr |
Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
title_full_unstemmed |
Regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in New Brunswick and Maine |
title_sort |
regional impact of large-scale climate oscillations on ice out variability in new brunswick and maine |
publisher |
PeerJ Inc. |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13741 https://doaj.org/article/3c6d3258b17841d987d850960269d04d |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-126.826,-126.826,54.858,54.858) |
geographic |
Four Lakes Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Four Lakes Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
PeerJ, Vol 10, p e13741 (2022) |
op_relation |
https://peerj.com/articles/13741.pdf https://peerj.com/articles/13741/ https://doaj.org/toc/2167-8359 doi:10.7717/peerj.13741 2167-8359 https://doaj.org/article/3c6d3258b17841d987d850960269d04d |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.13741 |
container_title |
PeerJ |
container_volume |
10 |
container_start_page |
e13741 |
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1787426684493889536 |