Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032
The paper presents the results of strategizing the development of the electric power industry on the territory of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in accordance with the scenarios of the development of the fuel and energy complex until 2032. The purpose of the research was to build electricity balanc...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 https://doaj.org/article/3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 2024-02-27T08:45:06+00:00 Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 Gulyaev Petr Grigoryevа Elena 2023-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 https://doaj.org/article/3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 EN FR eng fre EDP Sciences https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/97/e3sconf_bft2023_07016.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2267-1242 2267-1242 doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 https://doaj.org/article/3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 E3S Web of Conferences, Vol 460, p 07016 (2023) Environmental sciences GE1-350 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 2024-01-28T01:50:05Z The paper presents the results of strategizing the development of the electric power industry on the territory of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in accordance with the scenarios of the development of the fuel and energy complex until 2032. The purpose of the research was to build electricity balances of the Yakutia for a long-term period taking into account the level of uncertainty. Scenarios for the development of the electric power industry have been developed using modeling methods considering the existing programs and schemes for the development of the electric power industry of the Yakutia. The assessment of the required capacity and electricity by 2032 was carried out on the basis of an assessment of the volume of prospective electricity consumption in accordance with the updated forecast of socio-economic development of the Yakutia until 2032. When forecasting individual indicators at the municipal level, disaggregation was carried out, considering the location of electric power facilities. The electricity balances in the forecast model are used to reflect the prospective consumption volumes and possible (potential) volumes of electricity production (generation) at the “available” capacity. In the proposed scenarios of electricity consumption and production, it can be noted that there is no tendency to reduce the electrical capacity of the domestic, regional product. The obtained research results can be used in regional economic management systems. Article in Journal/Newspaper Republic of Sakha Yakutia Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Sakha E3S Web of Conferences 460 07016 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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English French |
topic |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
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Environmental sciences GE1-350 Gulyaev Petr Grigoryevа Elena Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
topic_facet |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 |
description |
The paper presents the results of strategizing the development of the electric power industry on the territory of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) in accordance with the scenarios of the development of the fuel and energy complex until 2032. The purpose of the research was to build electricity balances of the Yakutia for a long-term period taking into account the level of uncertainty. Scenarios for the development of the electric power industry have been developed using modeling methods considering the existing programs and schemes for the development of the electric power industry of the Yakutia. The assessment of the required capacity and electricity by 2032 was carried out on the basis of an assessment of the volume of prospective electricity consumption in accordance with the updated forecast of socio-economic development of the Yakutia until 2032. When forecasting individual indicators at the municipal level, disaggregation was carried out, considering the location of electric power facilities. The electricity balances in the forecast model are used to reflect the prospective consumption volumes and possible (potential) volumes of electricity production (generation) at the “available” capacity. In the proposed scenarios of electricity consumption and production, it can be noted that there is no tendency to reduce the electrical capacity of the domestic, regional product. The obtained research results can be used in regional economic management systems. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gulyaev Petr Grigoryevа Elena |
author_facet |
Gulyaev Petr Grigoryevа Elena |
author_sort |
Gulyaev Petr |
title |
Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
title_short |
Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
title_full |
Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
title_fullStr |
Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forecast of electricity consumption in Yakutia – Strategizing Horizon 2032 |
title_sort |
forecast of electricity consumption in yakutia – strategizing horizon 2032 |
publisher |
EDP Sciences |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 https://doaj.org/article/3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 |
geographic |
Sakha |
geographic_facet |
Sakha |
genre |
Republic of Sakha Yakutia |
genre_facet |
Republic of Sakha Yakutia |
op_source |
E3S Web of Conferences, Vol 460, p 07016 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/97/e3sconf_bft2023_07016.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/2267-1242 2267-1242 doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 https://doaj.org/article/3c0605f185a54659a9772d203df03518 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202346007016 |
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E3S Web of Conferences |
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460 |
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07016 |
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