Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae)
Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) is one of the most important bark beetles in North America and causes considerable economic and ecological losses during outbreaks. The distribution of this pest species is likely to be altered by climate change, which may threaten currently u...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:3a1b43e0e6f646168384f9370bdbbc96 2023-05-15T14:00:16+02:00 Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) Yuting Zhou Xuezhen Ge Ya Zou Siwei Guo Tao Wang Shixiang Zong 2019-10-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100860 https://doaj.org/article/3a1b43e0e6f646168384f9370bdbbc96 EN eng MDPI AG https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/10/10/860 https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 1999-4907 doi:10.3390/f10100860 https://doaj.org/article/3a1b43e0e6f646168384f9370bdbbc96 Forests, Vol 10, Iss 10, p 860 (2019) climate change climex dendroctonus ponderosae species distribution shift path Plant ecology QK900-989 article 2019 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100860 2022-12-30T23:57:44Z Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) is one of the most important bark beetles in North America and causes considerable economic and ecological losses during outbreaks. The distribution of this pest species is likely to be altered by climate change, which may threaten currently unaffected areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX to project the potential global distribution of D. ponderosae according to both historical climate data (1987−2016) and future climate warming estimates (2021−2100) to evaluate the impact of climate change on this species. Regions with suitable climate for D. ponderosae are distributed in all continents except Antarctica under both historical and future climate conditions, and these are predicted to change continuously with climate change. Overall, climate suitability will increase in middle- and high-latitude regions and decrease in low-latitude regions, and regions most sensitive to climate change are located in the mid-latitude zone. Moreover, the shift directions and ranges of climate-suitable regions under future conditions will differ among continents, and the shift distances in the north−south direction are larger than these in the east−west direction for Africa, Asia, Europe, South America, and Oceania, indicating that shift direction is possibly mainly affected by temperature. These projected distributions may provide theoretical guidance for early-warning intervention and risk assessment. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctica Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Forests 10 10 860 |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
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English |
topic |
climate change climex dendroctonus ponderosae species distribution shift path Plant ecology QK900-989 |
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climate change climex dendroctonus ponderosae species distribution shift path Plant ecology QK900-989 Yuting Zhou Xuezhen Ge Ya Zou Siwei Guo Tao Wang Shixiang Zong Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
topic_facet |
climate change climex dendroctonus ponderosae species distribution shift path Plant ecology QK900-989 |
description |
Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) is one of the most important bark beetles in North America and causes considerable economic and ecological losses during outbreaks. The distribution of this pest species is likely to be altered by climate change, which may threaten currently unaffected areas. In this study, we used CLIMEX to project the potential global distribution of D. ponderosae according to both historical climate data (1987−2016) and future climate warming estimates (2021−2100) to evaluate the impact of climate change on this species. Regions with suitable climate for D. ponderosae are distributed in all continents except Antarctica under both historical and future climate conditions, and these are predicted to change continuously with climate change. Overall, climate suitability will increase in middle- and high-latitude regions and decrease in low-latitude regions, and regions most sensitive to climate change are located in the mid-latitude zone. Moreover, the shift directions and ranges of climate-suitable regions under future conditions will differ among continents, and the shift distances in the north−south direction are larger than these in the east−west direction for Africa, Asia, Europe, South America, and Oceania, indicating that shift direction is possibly mainly affected by temperature. These projected distributions may provide theoretical guidance for early-warning intervention and risk assessment. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Yuting Zhou Xuezhen Ge Ya Zou Siwei Guo Tao Wang Shixiang Zong |
author_facet |
Yuting Zhou Xuezhen Ge Ya Zou Siwei Guo Tao Wang Shixiang Zong |
author_sort |
Yuting Zhou |
title |
Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
title_short |
Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
title_full |
Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
title_fullStr |
Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate Change Impacts on the Potential Distribution and Range Shift of Dendroctonus ponderosae (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) |
title_sort |
climate change impacts on the potential distribution and range shift of dendroctonus ponderosae (coleoptera: scolytidae) |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100860 https://doaj.org/article/3a1b43e0e6f646168384f9370bdbbc96 |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_source |
Forests, Vol 10, Iss 10, p 860 (2019) |
op_relation |
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/10/10/860 https://doaj.org/toc/1999-4907 1999-4907 doi:10.3390/f10100860 https://doaj.org/article/3a1b43e0e6f646168384f9370bdbbc96 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/f10100860 |
container_title |
Forests |
container_volume |
10 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
860 |
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1766269303904010240 |