Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis
Post-calving surveys to estimate herd size of barren-ground caribou (Rangifer tarandus groenlandicus, R. t. granti, and R. t. caribou) have been used for caribou herds in Alaska, Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut, and Québec/Labrador. The main field procedure uses relocation of collared caribou...
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Septentrio Academic Publishing
2018
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:2effdd9d6987404095f32ca83461e384 2023-05-15T15:53:26+02:00 Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis John Boulanger Jan Adamczewski Tracy Davison 2018-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.7557/2.38.1.4239 https://doaj.org/article/2effdd9d6987404095f32ca83461e384 EN eng Septentrio Academic Publishing https://septentrio.uit.no/index.php/rangifer/article/view/4239 https://doaj.org/toc/1890-6729 doi:10.7557/2.38.1.4239 1890-6729 https://doaj.org/article/2effdd9d6987404095f32ca83461e384 Rangifer, Vol 38, Iss 1 (2018) barren-ground caribou estimation post-calving survey negative binomial Lincoln-Petersen Rivest estimator Animal culture SF1-1100 article 2018 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.7557/2.38.1.4239 2022-12-31T01:51:51Z Post-calving surveys to estimate herd size of barren-ground caribou (Rangifer tarandus groenlandicus, R. t. granti, and R. t. caribou) have been used for caribou herds in Alaska, Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut, and Québec/Labrador. The main field procedure uses relocation of collared caribou to locate aggregated groups of hundreds or thousands of caribou during times of high insect harassment that usually occur in July. These groups are then photographed to obtain a count of the caribou in the aggregated groups. Often some caribou are missed, and the count of caribou may be a negatively biased estimate of total herd size, unless a high proportion of the herd is found and photographed. To address this, some previous studies have used the Lincoln-Petersen estimator, which estimates the proportion of the herd counted based on the percentage of available collared caribou found during the survey. However, this estimator assumes equal probabilities of all groups of caribou being found, regardless of group size and the numbers of collared caribou in the group. These assumptions may not be valid, as larger groups are more likely to be found than smaller groups, particularly if there are several collared caribou present. This may lead to estimates that are biased low, along with an estimate of variance that may also be biased low. A two phase estimator developed by Rivest et al., in 1998 became available in R statistical software in 2012. We analyzed 20 data sets from post-calving surveys in the NWT and NU carried out between 2000 and 2015 using the Rivest estimator to explore working characteristics of this estimator. We compared the Rivest estimates with Lincoln-Petersen estimates and total counts on each survey. We considered factors that influence precision of the Rivest estimator with a focus on sampling factors such as the proportion of collars found, the number of collars available, and natural factors such as the degree of aggregation of caribou in each survey (as indexed by the negative binomial ... Article in Journal/Newspaper caribou Northwest Territories Nunavut Rangifer Rangifer tarandus Alaska Yukon Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Canada Northwest Territories Nunavut Petersen ENVELOPE(-101.250,-101.250,-71.917,-71.917) Yukon Rangifer 38 1 39 78 |
institution |
Open Polar |
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Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
barren-ground caribou estimation post-calving survey negative binomial Lincoln-Petersen Rivest estimator Animal culture SF1-1100 |
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barren-ground caribou estimation post-calving survey negative binomial Lincoln-Petersen Rivest estimator Animal culture SF1-1100 John Boulanger Jan Adamczewski Tracy Davison Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
topic_facet |
barren-ground caribou estimation post-calving survey negative binomial Lincoln-Petersen Rivest estimator Animal culture SF1-1100 |
description |
Post-calving surveys to estimate herd size of barren-ground caribou (Rangifer tarandus groenlandicus, R. t. granti, and R. t. caribou) have been used for caribou herds in Alaska, Yukon, Northwest Territories, Nunavut, and Québec/Labrador. The main field procedure uses relocation of collared caribou to locate aggregated groups of hundreds or thousands of caribou during times of high insect harassment that usually occur in July. These groups are then photographed to obtain a count of the caribou in the aggregated groups. Often some caribou are missed, and the count of caribou may be a negatively biased estimate of total herd size, unless a high proportion of the herd is found and photographed. To address this, some previous studies have used the Lincoln-Petersen estimator, which estimates the proportion of the herd counted based on the percentage of available collared caribou found during the survey. However, this estimator assumes equal probabilities of all groups of caribou being found, regardless of group size and the numbers of collared caribou in the group. These assumptions may not be valid, as larger groups are more likely to be found than smaller groups, particularly if there are several collared caribou present. This may lead to estimates that are biased low, along with an estimate of variance that may also be biased low. A two phase estimator developed by Rivest et al., in 1998 became available in R statistical software in 2012. We analyzed 20 data sets from post-calving surveys in the NWT and NU carried out between 2000 and 2015 using the Rivest estimator to explore working characteristics of this estimator. We compared the Rivest estimates with Lincoln-Petersen estimates and total counts on each survey. We considered factors that influence precision of the Rivest estimator with a focus on sampling factors such as the proportion of collars found, the number of collars available, and natural factors such as the degree of aggregation of caribou in each survey (as indexed by the negative binomial ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
John Boulanger Jan Adamczewski Tracy Davison |
author_facet |
John Boulanger Jan Adamczewski Tracy Davison |
author_sort |
John Boulanger |
title |
Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
title_short |
Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
title_full |
Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
title_fullStr |
Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the Northwest Territories and Nunavut, Canada: A meta-analysis |
title_sort |
estimates of caribou herd size using post-calving surveys in the northwest territories and nunavut, canada: a meta-analysis |
publisher |
Septentrio Academic Publishing |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.7557/2.38.1.4239 https://doaj.org/article/2effdd9d6987404095f32ca83461e384 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-101.250,-101.250,-71.917,-71.917) |
geographic |
Canada Northwest Territories Nunavut Petersen Yukon |
geographic_facet |
Canada Northwest Territories Nunavut Petersen Yukon |
genre |
caribou Northwest Territories Nunavut Rangifer Rangifer tarandus Alaska Yukon |
genre_facet |
caribou Northwest Territories Nunavut Rangifer Rangifer tarandus Alaska Yukon |
op_source |
Rangifer, Vol 38, Iss 1 (2018) |
op_relation |
https://septentrio.uit.no/index.php/rangifer/article/view/4239 https://doaj.org/toc/1890-6729 doi:10.7557/2.38.1.4239 1890-6729 https://doaj.org/article/2effdd9d6987404095f32ca83461e384 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.7557/2.38.1.4239 |
container_title |
Rangifer |
container_volume |
38 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
39 |
op_container_end_page |
78 |
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1766388547682566144 |