Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://doaj.org/article/2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 2023-09-05T13:16:17+02:00 Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic Elisa Stella Lorenzo Mari Jacopo Gabrieli Carlo Barbante Enrico Bertuzzo 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://doaj.org/article/2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 EN eng IOP Publishing https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 10, p 105013 (2021) Arctic anthrax disease re-emerging diseases climate warming MaxEnt ecological niche model Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 article 2021 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 2023-08-13T00:37:05Z Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Environmental Research Letters 16 10 105013 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Arctic anthrax disease re-emerging diseases climate warming MaxEnt ecological niche model Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
spellingShingle |
Arctic anthrax disease re-emerging diseases climate warming MaxEnt ecological niche model Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 Elisa Stella Lorenzo Mari Jacopo Gabrieli Carlo Barbante Enrico Bertuzzo Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
topic_facet |
Arctic anthrax disease re-emerging diseases climate warming MaxEnt ecological niche model Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering TD1-1066 Environmental sciences GE1-350 Science Q Physics QC1-999 |
description |
Recent studies have raised concerns about the potential reemergence of infectious diseases in Arctic regions associated with warming temperatures. Among these, particular attention has been devoted to anthrax, as a consequence of the outbreak that occurred in the Russian Yamalo-Nenets peninsula in 2016. Understanding how environmental change might influence the diffusion of this pathogen could allow informed decisions to prevent further zoonotic or epidemic episodes. To that end, the present study aims to identify and investigate the driving variables that may favor anthrax transmission within the Arctic, in order to build environmental niche maps describing the future suitability of these regions for the pathogen. To do so, we use the MaxEnt statistical learning tool informed by Arctic-specific variables, such as reindeer herd distribution and active-layer variation. Because of the relative lack of reliable georeferenced information in these regions, the resulting potential distribution maps are to be considered preliminary, but they can already provide a first assessment tool for local communities living in potential risk areas. They also indicate areas in which additional investigation is needed to improve the reliability of environmental niche modeling, hence the accuracy of risk mapping and the usefulness to Arctic communities. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Elisa Stella Lorenzo Mari Jacopo Gabrieli Carlo Barbante Enrico Bertuzzo |
author_facet |
Elisa Stella Lorenzo Mari Jacopo Gabrieli Carlo Barbante Enrico Bertuzzo |
author_sort |
Elisa Stella |
title |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_short |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_fullStr |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the Arctic |
title_sort |
mapping environmental suitability for anthrax reemergence in the arctic |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://doaj.org/article/2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets |
genre_facet |
Arctic nenets Yamalo Nenets |
op_source |
Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 10, p 105013 (2021) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 https://doaj.org/toc/1748-9326 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 1748-9326 https://doaj.org/article/2cee44ecbfcb48b284a1dbe426f60005 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2527 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
105013 |
_version_ |
1776197929810264064 |