Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change
Abstract Land use and climate change alter species distributions worldwide, and detecting and understanding how species ranges shift can facilitate conservation planning and action. Following extirpation from most of the contiguous United States, gray wolves (Canis lupus) have partially recolonized...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/article/28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 |
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 2023-10-01T03:55:18+02:00 Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change Merijn van den Bosch Kenneth F. Kellner Dean E. Beyer Jr. John D. Erb David M. MacFarland D. Cody Norton Jennifer L. Price Tack Brian J. Roell Jerrold L. Belant 2023-08-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/article/28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/toc/2150-8925 2150-8925 doi:10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/article/28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 Ecosphere, Vol 14, Iss 8, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) carnivore climate change distribution global change gray wolf land use change Ecology QH540-549.5 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 2023-09-03T00:52:33Z Abstract Land use and climate change alter species distributions worldwide, and detecting and understanding how species ranges shift can facilitate conservation planning and action. Following extirpation from most of the contiguous United States, gray wolves (Canis lupus) have partially recolonized former range in the western Great Lakes region, but it is unknown how land use and climate change may alter amounts of wolf habitat. Using wolf observation data collected during winters 2017–2020 in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, we created ensemble models to predict how land use and climate change may affect the amount of wolf habitat within these states. A projection model for the western Great Lakes region suggested three of four scenarios of land use and climate change will lead to 9%–35% increases in wolf habitat, while a solely climate‐based projection model supported our expectation that changes in climate, in isolation, will have limited effect on current wolf range. Our results support stable or increasing amounts of wolf habitat in the western Great Lakes region during the 21st century, suggesting limited or no adverse effects on the current distribution or further recolonization of wolves. Our findings can inform policy development regarding wolf conservation and identify areas where recolonization is plausible, thus where promoting human–wolf coexistence is most pertinent. Article in Journal/Newspaper Canis lupus gray wolf Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Ecosphere 14 8 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
carnivore climate change distribution global change gray wolf land use change Ecology QH540-549.5 |
spellingShingle |
carnivore climate change distribution global change gray wolf land use change Ecology QH540-549.5 Merijn van den Bosch Kenneth F. Kellner Dean E. Beyer Jr. John D. Erb David M. MacFarland D. Cody Norton Jennifer L. Price Tack Brian J. Roell Jerrold L. Belant Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
topic_facet |
carnivore climate change distribution global change gray wolf land use change Ecology QH540-549.5 |
description |
Abstract Land use and climate change alter species distributions worldwide, and detecting and understanding how species ranges shift can facilitate conservation planning and action. Following extirpation from most of the contiguous United States, gray wolves (Canis lupus) have partially recolonized former range in the western Great Lakes region, but it is unknown how land use and climate change may alter amounts of wolf habitat. Using wolf observation data collected during winters 2017–2020 in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan, we created ensemble models to predict how land use and climate change may affect the amount of wolf habitat within these states. A projection model for the western Great Lakes region suggested three of four scenarios of land use and climate change will lead to 9%–35% increases in wolf habitat, while a solely climate‐based projection model supported our expectation that changes in climate, in isolation, will have limited effect on current wolf range. Our results support stable or increasing amounts of wolf habitat in the western Great Lakes region during the 21st century, suggesting limited or no adverse effects on the current distribution or further recolonization of wolves. Our findings can inform policy development regarding wolf conservation and identify areas where recolonization is plausible, thus where promoting human–wolf coexistence is most pertinent. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Merijn van den Bosch Kenneth F. Kellner Dean E. Beyer Jr. John D. Erb David M. MacFarland D. Cody Norton Jennifer L. Price Tack Brian J. Roell Jerrold L. Belant |
author_facet |
Merijn van den Bosch Kenneth F. Kellner Dean E. Beyer Jr. John D. Erb David M. MacFarland D. Cody Norton Jennifer L. Price Tack Brian J. Roell Jerrold L. Belant |
author_sort |
Merijn van den Bosch |
title |
Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
title_short |
Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
title_full |
Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
title_fullStr |
Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Gray wolf range in the western Great Lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
title_sort |
gray wolf range in the western great lakes region under forecasted land use and climate change |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/article/28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 |
genre |
Canis lupus gray wolf |
genre_facet |
Canis lupus gray wolf |
op_source |
Ecosphere, Vol 14, Iss 8, Pp n/a-n/a (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/toc/2150-8925 2150-8925 doi:10.1002/ecs2.4630 https://doaj.org/article/28b1bba4af784152abaa00ce749b3614 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.4630 |
container_title |
Ecosphere |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
8 |
_version_ |
1778523662328004608 |