Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction
Conservation of thermal energy applied to the upper mixed layer of the ocean is used to predict sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and their monthly changes for periods up to three months, and for seasonal prediction in the North Pacific and North Atlantic oceans. The conservation equation inc...
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Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geofísica
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:235df337689140d1bffa508fc20ac95f 2023-08-27T04:10:51+02:00 Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction E.E. Villanueva V.M. Mendoza J. Adem 2000-02-01T00:00:00Z https://doaj.org/article/235df337689140d1bffa508fc20ac95f EN ES eng spa Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geofísica http://www.geofisica.unam.mx/unid_apoyo/editorial/publicaciones/investigacion/geofisica_internacional/anteriores/2000/02/adem.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/0016-7169 0016-7169 https://doaj.org/article/235df337689140d1bffa508fc20ac95f Geofísica Internacional, Vol 39, Iss 2, Pp 189-199 (2000) Monthly and seasonal prediction sea surface temperature thermodynamic model Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 article 2000 ftdoajarticles 2023-08-06T00:45:35Z Conservation of thermal energy applied to the upper mixed layer of the ocean is used to predict sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and their monthly changes for periods up to three months, and for seasonal prediction in the North Pacific and North Atlantic oceans. The conservation equation includes horizontal transport of heat by mean ocean currents and by horizontal turbulent eddies, as well as heating by short-and long-wave radiation, evaporation and sensible heat transmitted to the atmosphere by vertical turbulent transport. Computations for the period from June 1980 to May 1984 show that this model has some skill in predicting the large scale SSTA and monthly changes for periods as long as three months, and in predicting the seasonal SSTA. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Pacific |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English Spanish |
topic |
Monthly and seasonal prediction sea surface temperature thermodynamic model Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
spellingShingle |
Monthly and seasonal prediction sea surface temperature thermodynamic model Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 E.E. Villanueva V.M. Mendoza J. Adem Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
topic_facet |
Monthly and seasonal prediction sea surface temperature thermodynamic model Geophysics. Cosmic physics QC801-809 |
description |
Conservation of thermal energy applied to the upper mixed layer of the ocean is used to predict sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) and their monthly changes for periods up to three months, and for seasonal prediction in the North Pacific and North Atlantic oceans. The conservation equation includes horizontal transport of heat by mean ocean currents and by horizontal turbulent eddies, as well as heating by short-and long-wave radiation, evaporation and sensible heat transmitted to the atmosphere by vertical turbulent transport. Computations for the period from June 1980 to May 1984 show that this model has some skill in predicting the large scale SSTA and monthly changes for periods as long as three months, and in predicting the seasonal SSTA. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
E.E. Villanueva V.M. Mendoza J. Adem |
author_facet |
E.E. Villanueva V.M. Mendoza J. Adem |
author_sort |
E.E. Villanueva |
title |
Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
title_short |
Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
title_full |
Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
title_fullStr |
Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
title_full_unstemmed |
Three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
title_sort |
three-months extended and seasonal forecast of sea surface temperature anomalies for thermodynamic climate prediction |
publisher |
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Instituto de Geofísica |
publishDate |
2000 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/235df337689140d1bffa508fc20ac95f |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
Geofísica Internacional, Vol 39, Iss 2, Pp 189-199 (2000) |
op_relation |
http://www.geofisica.unam.mx/unid_apoyo/editorial/publicaciones/investigacion/geofisica_internacional/anteriores/2000/02/adem.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/0016-7169 0016-7169 https://doaj.org/article/235df337689140d1bffa508fc20ac95f |
_version_ |
1775353203520438272 |