Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100.
The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological...
Published in: | PLOS ONE |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2020
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/article/20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca |
id |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca 2023-05-15T14:30:22+02:00 Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. Martin C Hänsel Jörn O Schmidt Martina H Stiasny Max T Stöven Rudi Voss Martin F Quaas 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/article/20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca EN eng Public Library of Science (PLoS) https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/article/20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca PLoS ONE, Vol 15, Iss 4, p e0231589 (2020) Medicine R Science Q article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 2022-12-31T11:55:59Z The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological processes into the recruitment model of the fish population. By running an ecological-economic optimization model, we investigate how the interaction of ocean warming, acidification and fishing pressure affects the sustainability of the fishery in terms of ecological, economic, social and consumer-related indicators, ranging from present day conditions up to future climate change scenarios. We find that near-term climate change will benefit the fishery, but under likely future warming and acidification this large fishery is at risk of collapse by the end of the century, even with the best adaptation effort in terms of reduced fishing pressure. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Arctic Arctic Ocean PLOS ONE 15 4 e0231589 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Medicine R Science Q |
spellingShingle |
Medicine R Science Q Martin C Hänsel Jörn O Schmidt Martina H Stiasny Max T Stöven Rudi Voss Martin F Quaas Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
topic_facet |
Medicine R Science Q |
description |
The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological processes into the recruitment model of the fish population. By running an ecological-economic optimization model, we investigate how the interaction of ocean warming, acidification and fishing pressure affects the sustainability of the fishery in terms of ecological, economic, social and consumer-related indicators, ranging from present day conditions up to future climate change scenarios. We find that near-term climate change will benefit the fishery, but under likely future warming and acidification this large fishery is at risk of collapse by the end of the century, even with the best adaptation effort in terms of reduced fishing pressure. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Martin C Hänsel Jörn O Schmidt Martina H Stiasny Max T Stöven Rudi Voss Martin F Quaas |
author_facet |
Martin C Hänsel Jörn O Schmidt Martina H Stiasny Max T Stöven Rudi Voss Martin F Quaas |
author_sort |
Martin C Hänsel |
title |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
title_short |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
title_full |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
title_fullStr |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
title_sort |
ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial arctic cod fishery by 2100. |
publisher |
Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/article/20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod |
genre_facet |
Arctic cod Arctic Arctic Ocean Climate change Gadus morhua Northeast Arctic cod |
op_source |
PLoS ONE, Vol 15, Iss 4, p e0231589 (2020) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203 1932-6203 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 https://doaj.org/article/20e16ae1eda8478a974a1a31f7a425ca |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231589 |
container_title |
PLOS ONE |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
e0231589 |
_version_ |
1766304220637560832 |