Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) exhibits remarkable non-stationarity on subseasonal timescales, severely limiting climate predictability. Here, based on observational and reanalysis datasets, we identify a robust subseasonal variabil...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:204d4b9ed32b4646baa131a8e96e815a 2023-11-05T03:43:57+01:00 Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia Xin Geng Kyung-Min Noh Kyungna Kim Jong-Seong Kug 2023-09-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 https://doaj.org/article/204d4b9ed32b4646baa131a8e96e815a EN eng Nature Portfolio https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 https://doaj.org/toc/2397-3722 doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 2397-3722 https://doaj.org/article/204d4b9ed32b4646baa131a8e96e815a npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 6, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2023) Environmental sciences GE1-350 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 2023-10-08T00:39:25Z Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) exhibits remarkable non-stationarity on subseasonal timescales, severely limiting climate predictability. Here, based on observational and reanalysis datasets, we identify a robust subseasonal variability in the EAWM response to ENSO, with a notable synchronous break in mid-January lasting about 10 days. We suggest that this breakdown is largely caused by interference from the abrupt phase reversal of the ENSO-driven North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which occurs about a week earlier in early January. During El Niño years, the NAO phase transition from positive to negative triggers a rapid change in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation via the quasi-stationary Rossby wave adjustment. This results in the strengthening of the Siberian high, which produces strong northerly wind anomalies over East Asia, while the anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone weakens and shrinks to the south, eventually leading to the collapse of the teleconnection. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 6 1 |
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language |
English |
topic |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
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Environmental sciences GE1-350 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Xin Geng Kyung-Min Noh Kyungna Kim Jong-Seong Kug Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
topic_facet |
Environmental sciences GE1-350 Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
description |
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influence on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) exhibits remarkable non-stationarity on subseasonal timescales, severely limiting climate predictability. Here, based on observational and reanalysis datasets, we identify a robust subseasonal variability in the EAWM response to ENSO, with a notable synchronous break in mid-January lasting about 10 days. We suggest that this breakdown is largely caused by interference from the abrupt phase reversal of the ENSO-driven North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which occurs about a week earlier in early January. During El Niño years, the NAO phase transition from positive to negative triggers a rapid change in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation via the quasi-stationary Rossby wave adjustment. This results in the strengthening of the Siberian high, which produces strong northerly wind anomalies over East Asia, while the anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone weakens and shrinks to the south, eventually leading to the collapse of the teleconnection. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Xin Geng Kyung-Min Noh Kyungna Kim Jong-Seong Kug |
author_facet |
Xin Geng Kyung-Min Noh Kyungna Kim Jong-Seong Kug |
author_sort |
Xin Geng |
title |
Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
title_short |
Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
title_full |
Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
title_fullStr |
Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Midwinter breakdown of ENSO climate impacts in East Asia |
title_sort |
midwinter breakdown of enso climate impacts in east asia |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 https://doaj.org/article/204d4b9ed32b4646baa131a8e96e815a |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, Vol 6, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2023) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 https://doaj.org/toc/2397-3722 doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 2397-3722 https://doaj.org/article/204d4b9ed32b4646baa131a8e96e815a |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00474-4 |
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npj Climate and Atmospheric Science |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
1 |
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1781702878420795392 |