Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types
Abstract Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonization of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather sensitivity of the continent's power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and wides...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:1bac6ac164c643b9a601d98ef88f73bc 2023-05-15T17:35:33+02:00 Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types Hannah C. Bloomfield David J. Brayshaw Andrew J. Charlton‐Perez 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/article/1bac6ac164c643b9a601d98ef88f73bc EN eng Wiley https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/toc/1350-4827 https://doaj.org/toc/1469-8080 1469-8080 1350-4827 doi:10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/article/1bac6ac164c643b9a601d98ef88f73bc Meteorological Applications, Vol 27, Iss 1, Pp n/a-n/a (2020) circulation electricity Europe power regimes renewables Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 article 2020 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 2023-02-26T01:35:55Z Abstract Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonization of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather sensitivity of the continent's power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and widespread interest from both academia and industry, the meteorological drivers of European power systems remain difficult to identify and are poorly understood. The present study presents a new and generally applicable approach, targeted circulation types (TCTs). In contrast to standard meteorological weather‐regime or circulation‐typing schemes, TCTs convolve the weather sensitivity of an impacted system of interest (in this case, the electricity system) with the intrinsic structures of the atmospheric circulation to identify its meteorological drivers. A new 38 year reconstruction of daily electricity demand and renewable supply across Europe is used to identify the winter large‐scale circulation patterns of most interest to the European electricity grid. TCTs provide greater explanatory power for power system variability and extremes compared with standard meteorological typing. Two new pairs of atmospheric patterns are highlighted, both of which have marked and extensive impacts on the European power system. The first pair resembles the meridional surface pressure dipole of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), but shifted eastward into Europe and noticeably strengthened, while the second pair is weaker and corresponds to surface pressure anomalies over Central Southern and Eastern Europe. While these gross qualitative patterns are robust features of the present European power systems, the detailed circulation structures are strongly affected by the amount and location of renewables installed. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Meteorological Applications 27 1 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
circulation electricity Europe power regimes renewables Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
spellingShingle |
circulation electricity Europe power regimes renewables Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Hannah C. Bloomfield David J. Brayshaw Andrew J. Charlton‐Perez Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
topic_facet |
circulation electricity Europe power regimes renewables Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 |
description |
Abstract Renewable electricity is a key enabling step in the decarbonization of energy. Europe is at the forefront of renewable deployment and this has dramatically increased the weather sensitivity of the continent's power systems. Despite the importance of weather to energy systems, and widespread interest from both academia and industry, the meteorological drivers of European power systems remain difficult to identify and are poorly understood. The present study presents a new and generally applicable approach, targeted circulation types (TCTs). In contrast to standard meteorological weather‐regime or circulation‐typing schemes, TCTs convolve the weather sensitivity of an impacted system of interest (in this case, the electricity system) with the intrinsic structures of the atmospheric circulation to identify its meteorological drivers. A new 38 year reconstruction of daily electricity demand and renewable supply across Europe is used to identify the winter large‐scale circulation patterns of most interest to the European electricity grid. TCTs provide greater explanatory power for power system variability and extremes compared with standard meteorological typing. Two new pairs of atmospheric patterns are highlighted, both of which have marked and extensive impacts on the European power system. The first pair resembles the meridional surface pressure dipole of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), but shifted eastward into Europe and noticeably strengthened, while the second pair is weaker and corresponds to surface pressure anomalies over Central Southern and Eastern Europe. While these gross qualitative patterns are robust features of the present European power systems, the detailed circulation structures are strongly affected by the amount and location of renewables installed. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hannah C. Bloomfield David J. Brayshaw Andrew J. Charlton‐Perez |
author_facet |
Hannah C. Bloomfield David J. Brayshaw Andrew J. Charlton‐Perez |
author_sort |
Hannah C. Bloomfield |
title |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_short |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_full |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_fullStr |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_full_unstemmed |
Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types |
title_sort |
characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the european electricity system using targeted circulation types |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/article/1bac6ac164c643b9a601d98ef88f73bc |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
Meteorological Applications, Vol 27, Iss 1, Pp n/a-n/a (2020) |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/toc/1350-4827 https://doaj.org/toc/1469-8080 1469-8080 1350-4827 doi:10.1002/met.1858 https://doaj.org/article/1bac6ac164c643b9a601d98ef88f73bc |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858 |
container_title |
Meteorological Applications |
container_volume |
27 |
container_issue |
1 |
_version_ |
1766134744785879040 |