Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten
Human-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the r...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 2023-10-29T02:37:47+01:00 Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer 2023-12-01T00:00:00Z https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 https://doaj.org/article/149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 EN eng Elsevier http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880723000675 https://doaj.org/toc/2405-8807 2405-8807 doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 https://doaj.org/article/149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 Climate Services, Vol 32, Iss , Pp 100405- (2023) Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Social sciences (General) H1-99 article 2023 ftdoajarticles https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 2023-10-01T00:35:42Z Human-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 until 2060. We used high-resolution gridded climate data and projections to calculate indicators such as changes in the frequency and intensity of consecutive wet days, changes in precipitation type (snow, sleet, rain), changes in the number of skiing days on ungroomed, natural snow, and changes of the monthly 0 °C-isoline. We found a minor, but non-robust increase in the number of consecutive wet days with a precipitation intensity > 8 mm/day, and a clear change in the precipitation regime depending on altitude that leads to more precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. Also, a strong decrease in the number of skiing days is projected by the climate models as the monthly near-surface 0 °C-isoline increases. These are important findings for long-term planning and investments in the tourism sector in Lofoten, especially as tourism growth is considered an important tool for regional economic development. The analytical methods used in this study are transferable to analyses on a regional to national scale. National maps and data material for 11 regions were recently published on https://klimaservicesenter.no/kss/framskr/sno-sludd-regn. Article in Journal/Newspaper Lofoten Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles Climate Services 32 100405 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Social sciences (General) H1-99 |
spellingShingle |
Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Social sciences (General) H1-99 Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
topic_facet |
Climate change Snow-dependent activities Tourism Climate service Lofoten Norway Meteorology. Climatology QC851-999 Social sciences (General) H1-99 |
description |
Human-induced climate change potentially impacts nature-based activities in Lofoten and may limit the attractiveness of the destination for tourists seeking recreation and adventure in the mountains. As a climate service, we calculated climate indicators relevant to the tourism sector based on the representative concentration pathways RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 until 2060. We used high-resolution gridded climate data and projections to calculate indicators such as changes in the frequency and intensity of consecutive wet days, changes in precipitation type (snow, sleet, rain), changes in the number of skiing days on ungroomed, natural snow, and changes of the monthly 0 °C-isoline. We found a minor, but non-robust increase in the number of consecutive wet days with a precipitation intensity > 8 mm/day, and a clear change in the precipitation regime depending on altitude that leads to more precipitation falling as rain instead of snow. Also, a strong decrease in the number of skiing days is projected by the climate models as the monthly near-surface 0 °C-isoline increases. These are important findings for long-term planning and investments in the tourism sector in Lofoten, especially as tourism growth is considered an important tool for regional economic development. The analytical methods used in this study are transferable to analyses on a regional to national scale. National maps and data material for 11 regions were recently published on https://klimaservicesenter.no/kss/framskr/sno-sludd-regn. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer |
author_facet |
Stephanie Mayer Elinah Khasandi Kuya Karin Antonsen Bruno Abegg Inger Hanssen-Bauer |
author_sort |
Stephanie Mayer |
title |
Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
title_short |
Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
title_full |
Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
title_fullStr |
Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
title_full_unstemmed |
Warmer and wetter: Outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in Norway – The case of Lofoten |
title_sort |
warmer and wetter: outlining climate services for snow-dependent tourism in norway – the case of lofoten |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 https://doaj.org/article/149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 |
genre |
Lofoten |
genre_facet |
Lofoten |
op_source |
Climate Services, Vol 32, Iss , Pp 100405- (2023) |
op_relation |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880723000675 https://doaj.org/toc/2405-8807 2405-8807 doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 https://doaj.org/article/149131f20c484669bd28c6e4f39c9b22 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100405 |
container_title |
Climate Services |
container_volume |
32 |
container_start_page |
100405 |
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1781062874997719040 |