A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST
A simplified method was developed for estimating the tsunami risk for a coast for possible events having recurrence periods of 50 and 100 years. The method is based on readily available seismic data and the calculation of magnitudes of events with specified return periods. A classical Gumbel statist...
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ftdoajarticles:oai:doaj.org/article:0ea54aff6e914f6abdae41657566c6ee 2023-05-15T16:58:46+02:00 A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST G.V. Shevchenko D. E. Zolotukhin I. N. Tikhonov 2013-10-01T00:00:00Z https://doaj.org/article/0ea54aff6e914f6abdae41657566c6ee EN eng Tsunami Society International http://tsunamisociety.org/324ShevchenkoEtAl.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/8755-6839 8755-6839 https://doaj.org/article/0ea54aff6e914f6abdae41657566c6ee Science of Tsunami Hazards, Vol 32, Iss 4, Pp 212-220 (2013) Oceanography GC1-1581 article 2013 ftdoajarticles 2022-12-31T06:15:11Z A simplified method was developed for estimating the tsunami risk for a coast for possible events having recurrence periods of 50 and 100 years. The method is based on readily available seismic data and the calculation of magnitudes of events with specified return periods. A classical Gumbel statistical method was used to estimate magnitudes of small probability events. The tsunami numerical modeling study used the average earthquake coordinates in the Kuril-Kamchatka high- seismic area. The verification and testing of the method were carried out using events from the North, Middle and South Kuril Islands – the most tsunami-risk areas of Russia’s Far East. Also, the study used the regional Kuril-Kamchatka catalogue of earthquakes from 1900 to 2008 - which included earthquakes with magnitudes of at least M=6. The results of the study indicate that the proposed methodology provides reasonable estimates of tsunami risk. Article in Journal/Newspaper Kamchatka Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Directory of Open Access Journals: DOAJ Articles |
op_collection_id |
ftdoajarticles |
language |
English |
topic |
Oceanography GC1-1581 |
spellingShingle |
Oceanography GC1-1581 G.V. Shevchenko D. E. Zolotukhin I. N. Tikhonov A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
topic_facet |
Oceanography GC1-1581 |
description |
A simplified method was developed for estimating the tsunami risk for a coast for possible events having recurrence periods of 50 and 100 years. The method is based on readily available seismic data and the calculation of magnitudes of events with specified return periods. A classical Gumbel statistical method was used to estimate magnitudes of small probability events. The tsunami numerical modeling study used the average earthquake coordinates in the Kuril-Kamchatka high- seismic area. The verification and testing of the method were carried out using events from the North, Middle and South Kuril Islands – the most tsunami-risk areas of Russia’s Far East. Also, the study used the regional Kuril-Kamchatka catalogue of earthquakes from 1900 to 2008 - which included earthquakes with magnitudes of at least M=6. The results of the study indicate that the proposed methodology provides reasonable estimates of tsunami risk. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
G.V. Shevchenko D. E. Zolotukhin I. N. Tikhonov |
author_facet |
G.V. Shevchenko D. E. Zolotukhin I. N. Tikhonov |
author_sort |
G.V. Shevchenko |
title |
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
title_short |
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
title_full |
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
title_fullStr |
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
title_full_unstemmed |
A METHOD FOR THE ESTIMATION OF TSUNAMI RISK ALONG RUSSIA’s FAR EAST |
title_sort |
method for the estimation of tsunami risk along russia’s far east |
publisher |
Tsunami Society International |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/0ea54aff6e914f6abdae41657566c6ee |
genre |
Kamchatka |
genre_facet |
Kamchatka |
op_source |
Science of Tsunami Hazards, Vol 32, Iss 4, Pp 212-220 (2013) |
op_relation |
http://tsunamisociety.org/324ShevchenkoEtAl.pdf https://doaj.org/toc/8755-6839 8755-6839 https://doaj.org/article/0ea54aff6e914f6abdae41657566c6ee |
_version_ |
1766050858163765248 |