Benchmark seasonal prediction skill estimates based on regional indices

• Published in: The Cryosphere
• Main Authors: J. E. Walsh, J. S. Stewart, F. Fetterer
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: Copernicus Publications 2019
• Subjects: Environmental sciences; GE1-350; Geology; QE1-996.5; Arctic; Chukchi Sea; East Siberian Sea; Beaufort Sea; Chukchi; Sea ice; The Cryosphere
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1073-2019; https://doaj.org/article/07d00a267b9947a1b07309707cb7dcdb

Basic statistical metrics such as autocorrelations and across-region lag correlations of sea ice variations provide benchmarks for the assessments of forecast skill achieved by other methods such as more sophisticated statistical formulations, numerical models, and heuristic approaches. In this stud...