North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments: Part III: Assessment of Twenty-First-Century Projections ...

• Main Authors: Maloney, Eric D., Camargo, Suzana J., Chang, Edmund, Colle, Brian, Fu, Rong, Geil, Kerrie L., Hu, Qi, Jiang, Xianan, Johnson, Nathaniel, Karnauskas, Kristopher B., Kinter, James, Kirtman, Benjamin, Kumar, Sanjiv, Langenbrunner, Baird, Lombardo, Kelly, Long, Lindsey N., Mariotti, Annarita, Meyerson, Joyce E., Mo, Kingtse C., Neelin, J. David, Pan, Zaitao, Seager, Richard, Serra, Yolande, Seth, Anji, Sheffield, Justin, Stroeve, Julienne, Thibeault, Jeanne, Xie, Shang-Ping, Wang, Chunzai, Wyman, Bruce, Zhao, Ming
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: unknown
• Published: Columbia University 2014
• Subjects: Climatic changes; Atmosphere; Hydrology; Pacific; North Atlantic
• Online Access: https://dx.doi.org/10.7916/d8125rx4; https://academiccommons.columbia.edu/doi/10.7916/D8125RX4

In part III of a three-part study on North American climate in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models, the authors examine projections of twenty-first-century climate in the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) emission experiments. This paper summarizes and synthesizes results from several coordinated studies by the authors. Aspects of North American climate change that are examined include changes in continental-scale temperature and the hydrologic cycle, extremes events, and storm tracks, as well as regional manifestations of these climate variables. The authors also examine changes in the eastern North Pacific and North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and North American intraseasonal to decadal variability, including changes in teleconnections to other regions of the globe. Projected changes are generally consistent with those previously published for CMIP3, although CMIP5 model projections differ importantly from those of CMIP3 in some aspects, including ...