Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence
Point processes are a natural class of model for representing occurrences of various types of natural hazard event. Flexibly implementing such models is often hindered by intractable likelihood forms. Consequently, rates of point processes tend to be reduced to parametric forms, or the processes are...
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ftdatacite:10.6084/m9.figshare.c.3733285 2023-05-15T17:33:08+02:00 Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence Youngman, Benjamin Economou, Theodoros Admin, Wiley 2017 https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.c.3733285 https://figshare.com/collections/Dataset_for_Generalised_additive_point_process_models_for_natural_hazard_occurrence/3733285 unknown Figshare https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/env.2444 CC BY https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 CC-BY Environmental Science Collection article 2017 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.c.3733285 https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2444 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z Point processes are a natural class of model for representing occurrences of various types of natural hazard event. Flexibly implementing such models is often hindered by intractable likelihood forms. Consequently, rates of point processes tend to be reduced to parametric forms, or the processes are discretised to give data of readily modelled `count-per-unit' type. This work proposes generalised additive model forms for point process rates. The resulting low-rank spatio-temporal representations of rates, coupled with the Laplace approximation, makes the restricted likelihood relatively tractable, and hence inference for such models possible. The models can also be interpreted from a regression perspective. The proposed models are used to estimate different types of Cox process and then spatio-temporal variation in European windstorms. Through a combination of thin plate and cubic regression splines, and their tensor product, established relationships between where windstorms occur and the state of the North Atlantic Oscillation are confirmed, and then expanded to bring detailed understanding of within-year variation, which has otherwise not been possible with count-based models. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Laplace ENVELOPE(141.467,141.467,-66.782,-66.782) |
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Environmental Science |
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Environmental Science Youngman, Benjamin Economou, Theodoros Admin, Wiley Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
topic_facet |
Environmental Science |
description |
Point processes are a natural class of model for representing occurrences of various types of natural hazard event. Flexibly implementing such models is often hindered by intractable likelihood forms. Consequently, rates of point processes tend to be reduced to parametric forms, or the processes are discretised to give data of readily modelled `count-per-unit' type. This work proposes generalised additive model forms for point process rates. The resulting low-rank spatio-temporal representations of rates, coupled with the Laplace approximation, makes the restricted likelihood relatively tractable, and hence inference for such models possible. The models can also be interpreted from a regression perspective. The proposed models are used to estimate different types of Cox process and then spatio-temporal variation in European windstorms. Through a combination of thin plate and cubic regression splines, and their tensor product, established relationships between where windstorms occur and the state of the North Atlantic Oscillation are confirmed, and then expanded to bring detailed understanding of within-year variation, which has otherwise not been possible with count-based models. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Youngman, Benjamin Economou, Theodoros Admin, Wiley |
author_facet |
Youngman, Benjamin Economou, Theodoros Admin, Wiley |
author_sort |
Youngman, Benjamin |
title |
Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
title_short |
Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
title_full |
Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
title_fullStr |
Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
title_full_unstemmed |
Dataset for: Generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
title_sort |
dataset for: generalised additive point process models for natural hazard occurrence |
publisher |
Figshare |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.c.3733285 https://figshare.com/collections/Dataset_for_Generalised_additive_point_process_models_for_natural_hazard_occurrence/3733285 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(141.467,141.467,-66.782,-66.782) |
geographic |
Laplace |
geographic_facet |
Laplace |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/env.2444 |
op_rights |
CC BY https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.c.3733285 https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2444 |
_version_ |
1766131528758198272 |