Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change
Waning annual seasonality is documented in an up to one-month advance in spring onset since the 1980’s in northern latitudes, perturbing ecosystems and socio-economic performance. Summer temperatures, in contrast, have been rising only recently, indicating an offset in seasonal warming. The limited...
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Taylor & Francis
2019
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ftdatacite:10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617.v1 2023-05-15T16:03:01+02:00 Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change Steinthorsdottir, Margret Wagner-Cremer, Friederike 2019 https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617.v1 https://tandf.figshare.com/articles/Hot_summers_ahead_Multi-decadal_spring_season_warming_precedes_sudden_summer_temperature_rise_in_pre-anthropogenic_climate_change/9933617/1 unknown Taylor & Francis https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11035897.2019.1655791 https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617 Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 CC-BY 59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences dataset Dataset 2019 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617.v1 https://doi.org/10.1080/11035897.2019.1655791 https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z Waning annual seasonality is documented in an up to one-month advance in spring onset since the 1980’s in northern latitudes, perturbing ecosystems and socio-economic performance. Summer temperatures, in contrast, have been rising only recently, indicating an offset in seasonal warming. The limited time span of this observational data makes the asynchronous pattern difficult to quantify, hindering projections of intra-annual dynamics. We explore temporal phase relations of seasonal warming over the Late Pleniglacial/Bølling and the Younger Dryas/Holocene climate transitions that preceded present anthropogenic warming. We determine past spring onset and thermal properties from dwarf birch paleo-phenology. Reconstructed spring warming led maximum summer warming by about a century during both transitions. Long-term reconstruction of intra-annual temperature regimes provides the perspective required for seasonal response analysis. Our results document that multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise also during natural climate change. The rapidity of present seasonality changes, however, is unprecedented. Dataset Dwarf birch DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
unknown |
topic |
59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences |
spellingShingle |
59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences Steinthorsdottir, Margret Wagner-Cremer, Friederike Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
topic_facet |
59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences |
description |
Waning annual seasonality is documented in an up to one-month advance in spring onset since the 1980’s in northern latitudes, perturbing ecosystems and socio-economic performance. Summer temperatures, in contrast, have been rising only recently, indicating an offset in seasonal warming. The limited time span of this observational data makes the asynchronous pattern difficult to quantify, hindering projections of intra-annual dynamics. We explore temporal phase relations of seasonal warming over the Late Pleniglacial/Bølling and the Younger Dryas/Holocene climate transitions that preceded present anthropogenic warming. We determine past spring onset and thermal properties from dwarf birch paleo-phenology. Reconstructed spring warming led maximum summer warming by about a century during both transitions. Long-term reconstruction of intra-annual temperature regimes provides the perspective required for seasonal response analysis. Our results document that multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise also during natural climate change. The rapidity of present seasonality changes, however, is unprecedented. |
format |
Dataset |
author |
Steinthorsdottir, Margret Wagner-Cremer, Friederike |
author_facet |
Steinthorsdottir, Margret Wagner-Cremer, Friederike |
author_sort |
Steinthorsdottir, Margret |
title |
Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
title_short |
Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
title_full |
Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
title_fullStr |
Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Hot summers ahead? Multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
title_sort |
hot summers ahead? multi-decadal spring season warming precedes sudden summer temperature rise in pre-anthropogenic climate change |
publisher |
Taylor & Francis |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617.v1 https://tandf.figshare.com/articles/Hot_summers_ahead_Multi-decadal_spring_season_warming_precedes_sudden_summer_temperature_rise_in_pre-anthropogenic_climate_change/9933617/1 |
genre |
Dwarf birch |
genre_facet |
Dwarf birch |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/11035897.2019.1655791 https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617 |
op_rights |
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617.v1 https://doi.org/10.1080/11035897.2019.1655791 https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.9933617 |
_version_ |
1766398672870834176 |