Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature
In 2018, Europe experienced the warmest May–October (Northern Hemisphere warm season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46 557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with sa...
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ftdatacite:10.6084/m9.figshare.11949507 2023-05-15T16:12:06+02:00 Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature R. Iestyn Woolway Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura 2020 https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.11949507 https://tandf.figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Impact_of_the_2018_European_heatwave_on_lake_surface_water_temperature/11949507 unknown Taylor & Francis https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 CC-BY 59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences Sociology FOS Sociology 69999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Inorganic Chemistry FOS Chemical sciences Text article-journal Journal contribution ScholarlyArticle 2020 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.11949507 https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z In 2018, Europe experienced the warmest May–October (Northern Hemisphere warm season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46 557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with satellite-derived lake surface temperatures for 115 lakes from 1995 to 2018. Using the validated model, we demonstrated that, during May–October 2018, mean and maximum lake surface temperatures were 1.5 and 2.4 °C warmer than the base-period average (1981–2010). A lake model experiment demonstrated that, on average, the increase in air temperature was the dominant driver of surface water temperature change. However, in some lake regions, other meteorological forcing had a greater influence. Notably, higher than average solar radiation and lower than average wind speed exacerbated the influence of the heatwave on lake surface temperature in many regions, particularly Fennoscandia and Western Europe. To place our results in the context of projected 21st century climate change, we then ran the lake model with input data from state-of-the-art climate model projections under 3 emissions scenarios. Under the scenario with highest emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5), we demonstrated that by the end of the 21st century, the lake surface temperatures that occurred during the heatwave of 2018 will become increasingly common across many lake regions in Europe. Text Fennoscandia DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
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DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
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59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences Sociology FOS Sociology 69999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Inorganic Chemistry FOS Chemical sciences |
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59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences Sociology FOS Sociology 69999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Inorganic Chemistry FOS Chemical sciences R. Iestyn Woolway Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
topic_facet |
59999 Environmental Sciences not elsewhere classified FOS Earth and related environmental sciences Ecology FOS Biological sciences Sociology FOS Sociology 69999 Biological Sciences not elsewhere classified Inorganic Chemistry FOS Chemical sciences |
description |
In 2018, Europe experienced the warmest May–October (Northern Hemisphere warm season) since air temperature records began. In this study, we ran model simulations for 46 557 lakes across Europe to investigate the influence of this heatwave on surface water temperature. We validated the model with satellite-derived lake surface temperatures for 115 lakes from 1995 to 2018. Using the validated model, we demonstrated that, during May–October 2018, mean and maximum lake surface temperatures were 1.5 and 2.4 °C warmer than the base-period average (1981–2010). A lake model experiment demonstrated that, on average, the increase in air temperature was the dominant driver of surface water temperature change. However, in some lake regions, other meteorological forcing had a greater influence. Notably, higher than average solar radiation and lower than average wind speed exacerbated the influence of the heatwave on lake surface temperature in many regions, particularly Fennoscandia and Western Europe. To place our results in the context of projected 21st century climate change, we then ran the lake model with input data from state-of-the-art climate model projections under 3 emissions scenarios. Under the scenario with highest emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5), we demonstrated that by the end of the 21st century, the lake surface temperatures that occurred during the heatwave of 2018 will become increasingly common across many lake regions in Europe. |
format |
Text |
author |
R. Iestyn Woolway Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura |
author_facet |
R. Iestyn Woolway Jennings, Eleanor Carrea, Laura |
author_sort |
R. Iestyn Woolway |
title |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_short |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_full |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_fullStr |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of the 2018 European heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
title_sort |
impact of the 2018 european heatwave on lake surface water temperature |
publisher |
Taylor & Francis |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.11949507 https://tandf.figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Impact_of_the_2018_European_heatwave_on_lake_surface_water_temperature/11949507 |
genre |
Fennoscandia |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandia |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 |
op_rights |
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.11949507 https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2020.1712180 |
_version_ |
1765997332319436800 |