On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ...
<!--!introduction!--> Atmospheric circulation is one of the major drivers of Arctic sea ice and so, one of the key elements for its predictability. Most studies devoted to the atmosphere-sea ice coupling have so far only considered the effects of the troposphere. However, the low predictabilit...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Conference Object |
Language: | unknown |
Published: |
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
2023
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.57757/iugg23-2014 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018830 |
id |
ftdatacite:10.57757/iugg23-2014 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdatacite:10.57757/iugg23-2014 2023-07-23T04:17:04+02:00 On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... Ayarzagüena, Blanca Casanova, Cristina Calvo, Natalia 2023 https://dx.doi.org/10.57757/iugg23-2014 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018830 unknown GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 Article ConferencePaper Oral 2023 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.57757/iugg23-2014 2023-07-03T18:40:02Z <!--!introduction!--> Atmospheric circulation is one of the major drivers of Arctic sea ice and so, one of the key elements for its predictability. Most studies devoted to the atmosphere-sea ice coupling have so far only considered the effects of the troposphere. However, the low predictability of the polar tropospheric weather beyond two weeks hampers longer predictions of the sea ice. Further, changes in the stratosphere, such as sudden stratospheric warmings, have been found to affect surface conditions for up to several weeks, being the polar region one of the most affected areas. Thus, the consideration of the occurrence of these events may remarkably improve the predictability of the Arctic area. In this study, we aim to evaluate the predictive capacity of SSWs at sub-seasonal scale on Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC). To do so, we have used hindcast simulations of the sub-seasonal prediction model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) during the 20-year period of ... : The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023) ... Conference Object Arctic Sea ice DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Arctic |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
unknown |
description |
<!--!introduction!--> Atmospheric circulation is one of the major drivers of Arctic sea ice and so, one of the key elements for its predictability. Most studies devoted to the atmosphere-sea ice coupling have so far only considered the effects of the troposphere. However, the low predictability of the polar tropospheric weather beyond two weeks hampers longer predictions of the sea ice. Further, changes in the stratosphere, such as sudden stratospheric warmings, have been found to affect surface conditions for up to several weeks, being the polar region one of the most affected areas. Thus, the consideration of the occurrence of these events may remarkably improve the predictability of the Arctic area. In this study, we aim to evaluate the predictive capacity of SSWs at sub-seasonal scale on Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC). To do so, we have used hindcast simulations of the sub-seasonal prediction model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) during the 20-year period of ... : The 28th IUGG General Assembly (IUGG2023) (Berlin 2023) ... |
format |
Conference Object |
author |
Ayarzagüena, Blanca Casanova, Cristina Calvo, Natalia |
spellingShingle |
Ayarzagüena, Blanca Casanova, Cristina Calvo, Natalia On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
author_facet |
Ayarzagüena, Blanca Casanova, Cristina Calvo, Natalia |
author_sort |
Ayarzagüena, Blanca |
title |
On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
title_short |
On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
title_full |
On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
title_fullStr |
On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the predictability of Arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
title_sort |
on the predictability of arctic sea ice considering stratospheric information ... |
publisher |
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.57757/iugg23-2014 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018830 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Sea ice |
op_rights |
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.57757/iugg23-2014 |
_version_ |
1772178309645336576 |