The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss
We solve the sea-level equation to investigate the pattern of the gravitationally self-consistent sea-level variations (fingerprints) corresponding to modeled scenarios of future terrestrial ice melt. These were obtained from separate ice dynamics and surface mass balance models for the Greenland an...
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ftdatacite:10.5281/zenodo.6996 2023-05-15T13:57:47+02:00 The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss Spada, G. Bamber, J. L. Hurkmans, R. T. W. L. 2013 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6996 https://zenodo.org/record/6996 unknown Zenodo Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess CC-BY future sea level change terrestrial ice loss Text Journal article article-journal ScholarlyArticle 2013 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6996 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z We solve the sea-level equation to investigate the pattern of the gravitationally self-consistent sea-level variations (fingerprints) corresponding to modeled scenarios of future terrestrial ice melt. These were obtained from separate ice dynamics and surface mass balance models for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and by a regionalized mass balance model for glaciers and ice caps. For our mid-range scenario, the ice melt component of total sea-level change attains its largest amplitude in the equatorial oceans, where we predict a cumulative sea-level rise of ~ 25 cm and rates of change close to 3 mm/yr from ice melt alone by 2100. According to our modeling, in low-elevation densely populated coastal zones, the gravitationally consistent sea-level variations due to continental ice loss will range between 50 and 150% of the global mean. This includes the effects of glacial-isostatic adjustment, which mostly contributes across the lateral forebulge regions in North America. While the mid range ocean-averaged elastic-gravitational sea-level variations compare with those associated with thermal expansion and ocean circulation, their combination shows a complex regional pattern, where the former component dominates in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean and the latter in the Arctic Ocean. Text Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Greenland DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Arctic Antarctic Arctic Ocean Greenland Pacific |
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Open Polar |
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DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
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topic |
future sea level change terrestrial ice loss |
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future sea level change terrestrial ice loss Spada, G. Bamber, J. L. Hurkmans, R. T. W. L. The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
topic_facet |
future sea level change terrestrial ice loss |
description |
We solve the sea-level equation to investigate the pattern of the gravitationally self-consistent sea-level variations (fingerprints) corresponding to modeled scenarios of future terrestrial ice melt. These were obtained from separate ice dynamics and surface mass balance models for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets and by a regionalized mass balance model for glaciers and ice caps. For our mid-range scenario, the ice melt component of total sea-level change attains its largest amplitude in the equatorial oceans, where we predict a cumulative sea-level rise of ~ 25 cm and rates of change close to 3 mm/yr from ice melt alone by 2100. According to our modeling, in low-elevation densely populated coastal zones, the gravitationally consistent sea-level variations due to continental ice loss will range between 50 and 150% of the global mean. This includes the effects of glacial-isostatic adjustment, which mostly contributes across the lateral forebulge regions in North America. While the mid range ocean-averaged elastic-gravitational sea-level variations compare with those associated with thermal expansion and ocean circulation, their combination shows a complex regional pattern, where the former component dominates in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean and the latter in the Arctic Ocean. |
format |
Text |
author |
Spada, G. Bamber, J. L. Hurkmans, R. T. W. L. |
author_facet |
Spada, G. Bamber, J. L. Hurkmans, R. T. W. L. |
author_sort |
Spada, G. |
title |
The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
title_short |
The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
title_full |
The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
title_fullStr |
The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Gravitationally Consistent Sea-Level Fingerprint Of Future Terrestrial Ice Loss |
title_sort |
gravitationally consistent sea-level fingerprint of future terrestrial ice loss |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6996 https://zenodo.org/record/6996 |
geographic |
Arctic Antarctic Arctic Ocean Greenland Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Antarctic Arctic Ocean Greenland Pacific |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Greenland |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Arctic Ocean Greenland |
op_rights |
Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6996 |
_version_ |
1766265669885624320 |