Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model
The study presents the results of an estimative forecast for the individual components of environment in XXI century. The forecast is based on a regression model and insolation contrast range as a predictor. It was determined that the level of the World Ocean by the end of the current century will r...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | Russian |
Published: |
Zenodo
2022
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371865 https://zenodo.org/record/6371865 |
id |
ftdatacite:10.5281/zenodo.6371865 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdatacite:10.5281/zenodo.6371865 2023-05-15T15:09:06+02:00 Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model Fedorov, Valery Fedorova, Ekaterina Zalihanov, Alim 2022 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371865 https://zenodo.org/record/6371865 ru rus Zenodo https://zenodo.org/communities/jeees https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371864 https://zenodo.org/communities/jeees Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess CC-BY estimative forecast insolation contrast range World Ocean level area of the sea ice glacier mass balance regression model article-journal ScholarlyArticle JournalArticle 2022 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371865 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371864 2022-04-01T17:27:16Z The study presents the results of an estimative forecast for the individual components of environment in XXI century. The forecast is based on a regression model and insolation contrast range as a predictor. It was determined that the level of the World Ocean by the end of the current century will reach the value of 476 mm (relative to the beginning of the XXI century). The raise comparatively to 2020 will be 168 mm. Average annual area of the sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere since 2020 to 2100 will decrease by 3.39 million km 2 or by 29.4%, the minimal one – by 5.65 million km 2 or 77.1%. By 2050 comparatively to 2018 decrease of the sea ice area in Arctic Ocean will be 18.3% for the average annual area, 10.1% - for the maximal, and 60.3% - for the minimal area. On average, for the nine glacial regions of the Northern Hemisphere, the reduction in the ice mass balance from 1900 to 2050 is estimated at 42.9 m of water equivalent (w.e.). From 2020 to 2050 on average, for the glaciers covered by balance observations in the Northern Hemisphere, the reduction in ice mass is expected to be 8.8 m w.e. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Arctic Arctic Ocean |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
Russian |
topic |
estimative forecast insolation contrast range World Ocean level area of the sea ice glacier mass balance regression model |
spellingShingle |
estimative forecast insolation contrast range World Ocean level area of the sea ice glacier mass balance regression model Fedorov, Valery Fedorova, Ekaterina Zalihanov, Alim Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
topic_facet |
estimative forecast insolation contrast range World Ocean level area of the sea ice glacier mass balance regression model |
description |
The study presents the results of an estimative forecast for the individual components of environment in XXI century. The forecast is based on a regression model and insolation contrast range as a predictor. It was determined that the level of the World Ocean by the end of the current century will reach the value of 476 mm (relative to the beginning of the XXI century). The raise comparatively to 2020 will be 168 mm. Average annual area of the sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere since 2020 to 2100 will decrease by 3.39 million km 2 or by 29.4%, the minimal one – by 5.65 million km 2 or 77.1%. By 2050 comparatively to 2018 decrease of the sea ice area in Arctic Ocean will be 18.3% for the average annual area, 10.1% - for the maximal, and 60.3% - for the minimal area. On average, for the nine glacial regions of the Northern Hemisphere, the reduction in the ice mass balance from 1900 to 2050 is estimated at 42.9 m of water equivalent (w.e.). From 2020 to 2050 on average, for the glaciers covered by balance observations in the Northern Hemisphere, the reduction in ice mass is expected to be 8.8 m w.e. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fedorov, Valery Fedorova, Ekaterina Zalihanov, Alim |
author_facet |
Fedorov, Valery Fedorova, Ekaterina Zalihanov, Alim |
author_sort |
Fedorov, Valery |
title |
Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
title_short |
Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
title_full |
Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
title_fullStr |
Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimative Forecast of Changes in the Individual Components of Environment based on a regression model |
title_sort |
estimative forecast of changes in the individual components of environment based on a regression model |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371865 https://zenodo.org/record/6371865 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://zenodo.org/communities/jeees https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371864 https://zenodo.org/communities/jeees |
op_rights |
Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371865 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6371864 |
_version_ |
1766340337819713536 |