Determinación y Calibración de Modelos Analíticos para Mejorar el Pronóstico de Huracanes ...

• Main Author: Varona, Humberto L.
• Format: Text
• Language: Spanish
• Published: Zenodo 2012
• Subjects: Huracán, Olas, Vientos, Modelos de pronósticos; North Atlantic
• Online Access: https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5229180; https://zenodo.org/record/5229180

In this thesis invetigate the existing models about hurricane’s structrure that pass over the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Mexican Gulf and we found that there is no any satisfactory model that determine the structure of a hurricane. Every models except the Collins-Viehnaman’s model, only take into account the maximun wind radii and not the eye's radii, wich determine the null speed inside the eye, neither the radii of the last closed isobar that delimits the distance were from the wind begin to disorganize. The Collins-Viehnaman’s model delimits the null speed inside the eye to one third of maximun wind radii but when we prove this experimentally, the results were not good. We analyze the majority of the actual valid models to determine the speed’s field, the pressure’s field and wave’s field generated by quasi stationary and moving hurricane. Trajectories of several hurricanes was examinated and the experimental data of the weather stations placed in the NOAA's buoys and on land of the NSSL, ...