Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control
Large amounts of carbon are stored as permafrost within the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions. As permafrost thaws due to climate warming, carbon dioxide and methane are released. Recent studies indicate that the pool of carbon susceptible to future thaw is higher than was previously thought and that mo...
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ftdatacite:10.5281/zenodo.1237531 2023-05-15T14:57:12+02:00 Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control González-Eguino, Mikel Neumann, Marc B. 2016 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237531 https://zenodo.org/record/1237531 en eng Zenodo https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237536 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237532 Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess CC-BY Carbon Price Integrate Assessment Model Mitigation Cost Permafrost Thawing Pure Rate Preprint Text article-journal ScholarlyArticle 2016 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237531 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237536 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237532 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z Large amounts of carbon are stored as permafrost within the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions. As permafrost thaws due to climate warming, carbon dioxide and methane are released. Recent studies indicate that the pool of carbon susceptible to future thaw is higher than was previously thought and that more carbon could be released by 2100, even under low emission pathways. We use an integrated model of the climate and the economy to study how including these new estimates influence the control of climate change to levels that will likely keep the temperature increase below 2 °C (radiative forcing of 2.6 Wm −2 ). According to our simulations, the fossil fuel and industrial CO 2 emissions need to peak 5–10 years earlier and the carbon budget needs to be reduced by 6–17 % to offset this additional source of warming. The required increase in carbon price implies a 6–21 % higher mitigation cost to society compared to a situation where emissions from permafrost are not considered. Including other positive climate feedbacks, currently not accounted for in integrated assessment models, could further increase these numbers. Report Arctic Climate change permafrost DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Arctic |
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DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
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English |
topic |
Carbon Price Integrate Assessment Model Mitigation Cost Permafrost Thawing Pure Rate |
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Carbon Price Integrate Assessment Model Mitigation Cost Permafrost Thawing Pure Rate González-Eguino, Mikel Neumann, Marc B. Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
topic_facet |
Carbon Price Integrate Assessment Model Mitigation Cost Permafrost Thawing Pure Rate |
description |
Large amounts of carbon are stored as permafrost within the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions. As permafrost thaws due to climate warming, carbon dioxide and methane are released. Recent studies indicate that the pool of carbon susceptible to future thaw is higher than was previously thought and that more carbon could be released by 2100, even under low emission pathways. We use an integrated model of the climate and the economy to study how including these new estimates influence the control of climate change to levels that will likely keep the temperature increase below 2 °C (radiative forcing of 2.6 Wm −2 ). According to our simulations, the fossil fuel and industrial CO 2 emissions need to peak 5–10 years earlier and the carbon budget needs to be reduced by 6–17 % to offset this additional source of warming. The required increase in carbon price implies a 6–21 % higher mitigation cost to society compared to a situation where emissions from permafrost are not considered. Including other positive climate feedbacks, currently not accounted for in integrated assessment models, could further increase these numbers. |
format |
Report |
author |
González-Eguino, Mikel Neumann, Marc B. |
author_facet |
González-Eguino, Mikel Neumann, Marc B. |
author_sort |
González-Eguino, Mikel |
title |
Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
title_short |
Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
title_full |
Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
title_fullStr |
Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
title_full_unstemmed |
Significant Implications Of Permafrost Thawing For Climate Change Control |
title_sort |
significant implications of permafrost thawing for climate change control |
publisher |
Zenodo |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237531 https://zenodo.org/record/1237531 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change permafrost |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change permafrost |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237536 https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237532 |
op_rights |
Open Access Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237531 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237536 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1237532 |
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