On Some Signs Of A Recurrent Climate Scenario Advent

• Main Authors: Byshev, Vladimir I., Neiman, Victor G., Romanov, Yuri A., Serykh, Ilya V.
• Format: Text
• Language: English
• Published: Zenodo 2013
• Subjects: Climate change; climatic scenario; fields of environmental characteristics; North Atlantic region.; North Atlantic
• Online Access: https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1078366; https://zenodo.org/record/1078366

Since atmosphere pressure field is an actual envoy of climatic signal the atmospheric Highs and Lows should be attributed to the key active focal points within the ocean-atmosphere interplay system. Here we were set a task to determine how the dynamics of those centres of action relates to the climate change both on regional and global scales. For this target the near-surface temperature and atmospheric pressure differences between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High were considered. The secular term of phase states of the system under consideration was found divided into three nonintersecting subsets. Each of that was put in consequence with one of three climatic scenarios related to the periods of 1905-1935 (relatively warm phase), 1940-1970 (cold phase) and 1980-2000 (warm phase). : {"references": ["Akasofu, S.-I. 2010. On the recovery from the Little Ice Age. Natural\nScience, 2(11), 1211-1224. doi: 10.4236/ns.2010.210149.", "Allan, R. J. and Ansell, T. J. 2006. A new globally-complete monthly\nhistorical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-\n2004. Journal of Climate, 19, 5816-5842.", "Brohan, P., Kennedy, J. J., Harris, I., Tett, S. F. B., and Jones, P. D.\n2006. Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature\nchanges: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111(D12)106,\ndoi:10.1029/2005JD006548.", "Bronnemann, S., Stickler, A., Griesser, T., Fischer, A.M. Grant, A.,\nEwen, T., Zhou, T., Schraner, M., Rozanov, E., Peter, T. 2009.\nVariability of large-scale atmospheric circulation indices for the\nNorthern Hemisphere during the past 100 years. Meteorologische\nZeitschrift. 18 (4), 379-396.", "Byshev, V. I. 2003. Synoptic and Large-Scale Variability of Ocean and\nAtmosphere. Nauka, Moscow [in Russian]. 344 pp.", "Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G. and Romanov, Yu. A. 2006. On\nPronounced Discrepancies of Surface Air Temperature Large-Scale\nVariation on Continents and over Oceans. Okeanologiya, 46(2). 165-\n177.", "Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G., Romanov, Yu. A. and Serykh, I. V. 2009.\nOn the spatial nonuniformity of some parameters of the recent climate\nglobal variations. Doklady Earth Sciences, 426. 705-709.", "Gill, A. E. 1982. Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press.\nLondon. England, Cambridge (Mir, Moscow, 1986.2. 415 p).", "IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.\nContribution of WGI to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Ed.\nby S. Solomon, D. Qin, and M. Manning, et al. Cambridge University\nPress, Cambridge and New-York. 996.\n[10] Knight, J. R. 2005. A signature of persistent natural thermohaline\ncirculation cycles in observed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L20708.\ndoi:10.1029/2005GL024233.\n[11] Kouraev, A.V., Gretaux, G.-F., Lebedev, S.A., Kostianoy, A.G.\nGinzburg, A.I., Sheremet, N.A., Mamedov, R., Zakharova, E.A.,\nRoblou, L., Lyard, F., Calmant, S., Berge-Nguyen, M. 2011. Satellite\nAltimetry applications in the Caspian Sea. In: Coastal Altimetry. (eds.\nVignudelli, S., Kostianoy, A. G., Cipollini, P., Benveniste, J. Springer-\nVerlag). Berlin. Heidelberg. 331-366. doi:101007-978-3-642-12796-\n013.\n[12] Lebedev, S. A. and Kostianoy, A. G. 2008. Integrated using of Satellite\nAltimetry in Investigation of meteorological, hydrological and\nhydrodynamic regime of the Caspian Sea. Journal of terrestrial\natmospheric and oceanic Sciences. 19(1-2), 71-82\n[13] Panin, G. N. 2009. On Climate Changes in Polar zones of the Earth in\nthe twentieth and twenty first centuries. Doklady Earth Sciences. 427(2).\n988-992.\n[14] Tsonis, A.A., Swanson, K., Kravtsov, S. 2007. A new dynamical\nmechanism for major climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34. L13705.\ndoi:10.1029/2007GL030288,2007.\n[15] Vakulenko, N.V., Monin, A.S., Shishkov, Yu. A. 2000. General\nAtmospheric Circulation Variations in the XXth Century. Doklady Earth\nSciences. 371A(3). 579-584.\n[16] Wang, G., Swanson, K.L., Tsonis, A.A. 2009. The Pacemaker of major\nClimate Shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36. L07708.\ndoi:10.1029/2008GL036874,2009."]}