ariel-morrison/variability-masks-permafrost: Code for "Natural variability can mask forced permafrost response to stratospheric aerosol injection in the ARISE-SAI-1.5 simulations" ...
We assess how natural variability may mask the forced response of permafrost to a hypothetical stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) scenario. We train two logistic regression models to predict whether maps of active layer depth and permafrost soil temperature came from the SAI or SSP2-4.5 (control)...
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| Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
| Language: | unknown |
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Zenodo
2024
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| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10778469 https://zenodo.org/doi/10.5281/zenodo.10778469 |
| Summary: | We assess how natural variability may mask the forced response of permafrost to a hypothetical stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) scenario. We train two logistic regression models to predict whether maps of active layer depth and permafrost soil temperature came from the SAI or SSP2-4.5 (control) simulations, and find that it may take 10-30 years of SAI to accurately detect its influence on permafrost. ... |
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