The causes of sea-level rise since 1900 ...
Global-mean sea level has been rising unsteadily since 1900, and the underlying causes are still poorly understood. Here we present a probabilistic framework to reconstruct and budget sea level with independent observations considering their inherent uncertainties. We find that the sum of thermal ex...
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2023
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| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.48577/jpl.2wopuj https://dataverse.jpl.nasa.gov/citation?persistentId=doi:10.48577/jpl.2WOPUJ |
| Summary: | Global-mean sea level has been rising unsteadily since 1900, and the underlying causes are still poorly understood. Here we present a probabilistic framework to reconstruct and budget sea level with independent observations considering their inherent uncertainties. We find that the sum of thermal expansion, ice-mass loss and terrestrial water storage changes is consistent with the trends and multi-decadal variability in observed sea level on both global and basin scales, which we reconstruct from tide-gauge records. Glacier-dominated cryospheric mass loss has caused twice as much sea-level rise as thermal expansion since 1900. Ice mass changes also well explain the high rates typically seen in global sea-level reconstructions during the 1930s, while a sharp increase in water impoundment by man-made reservoirs has been the dominant contributor to lower-than-average rates during the 1970s. The acceleration over the last decades is caused by both thermal expansion and increased Greenland mass loss. No ... |
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