Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ...
The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change highlights that climate change and ocean acidification are challenging the sustainable management of living marine resources (LMRs). Formal and systematic treatment of uncertainty in existing LMR projections, however, is la...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Text |
Language: | unknown |
Published: |
Oxford University Press
2016
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.48350/158651 https://boris.unibe.ch/158651/ |
id |
ftdatacite:10.48350/158651 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftdatacite:10.48350/158651 2024-09-30T14:40:45+00:00 Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... Cheung, William W. L. Frölicher, Thomas L. Asch, Rebecca G. Jones, Miranda C. Pinsky, Malin L. Reygondeau, Gabriel Rodgers, Keith B. Rykaczewski, Ryan R. Sarmiento, Jorge L Stock, Charles Watson, James R. 2016 https://dx.doi.org/10.48350/158651 https://boris.unibe.ch/158651/ unknown Oxford University Press open access publisher holds copyright http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 530 Physics Text ScholarlyArticle article-journal journal article 2016 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.48350/158651 2024-09-02T10:17:31Z The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change highlights that climate change and ocean acidification are challenging the sustainable management of living marine resources (LMRs). Formal and systematic treatment of uncertainty in existing LMR projections, however, is lacking. We synthesize knowledge of how to address different sources of uncertainty by drawing from climate model intercomparison efforts. We suggest an ensemble of available models and projections, informed by observations, as a starting point to quantify uncertainties. Such an ensemble must be paired with analysis of the dominant uncertainties over different spatial scales, time horizons, and metrics. We use two examples: (i) global and regional projections of Sea Surface Temperature and (ii) projection of changes in potential catch of sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) in the 21st century, to illustrate this ensemble model approach to explore different types of uncertainties. Further effort should prioritize ... Text Ocean acidification DataCite |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
unknown |
topic |
530 Physics |
spellingShingle |
530 Physics Cheung, William W. L. Frölicher, Thomas L. Asch, Rebecca G. Jones, Miranda C. Pinsky, Malin L. Reygondeau, Gabriel Rodgers, Keith B. Rykaczewski, Ryan R. Sarmiento, Jorge L Stock, Charles Watson, James R. Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
topic_facet |
530 Physics |
description |
The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change highlights that climate change and ocean acidification are challenging the sustainable management of living marine resources (LMRs). Formal and systematic treatment of uncertainty in existing LMR projections, however, is lacking. We synthesize knowledge of how to address different sources of uncertainty by drawing from climate model intercomparison efforts. We suggest an ensemble of available models and projections, informed by observations, as a starting point to quantify uncertainties. Such an ensemble must be paired with analysis of the dominant uncertainties over different spatial scales, time horizons, and metrics. We use two examples: (i) global and regional projections of Sea Surface Temperature and (ii) projection of changes in potential catch of sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) in the 21st century, to illustrate this ensemble model approach to explore different types of uncertainties. Further effort should prioritize ... |
format |
Text |
author |
Cheung, William W. L. Frölicher, Thomas L. Asch, Rebecca G. Jones, Miranda C. Pinsky, Malin L. Reygondeau, Gabriel Rodgers, Keith B. Rykaczewski, Ryan R. Sarmiento, Jorge L Stock, Charles Watson, James R. |
author_facet |
Cheung, William W. L. Frölicher, Thomas L. Asch, Rebecca G. Jones, Miranda C. Pinsky, Malin L. Reygondeau, Gabriel Rodgers, Keith B. Rykaczewski, Ryan R. Sarmiento, Jorge L Stock, Charles Watson, James R. |
author_sort |
Cheung, William W. L. |
title |
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
title_short |
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
title_full |
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
title_fullStr |
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
title_full_unstemmed |
Building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
title_sort |
building confidence in projections of the responses of living marine resources to climate change ... |
publisher |
Oxford University Press |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.48350/158651 https://boris.unibe.ch/158651/ |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_rights |
open access publisher holds copyright http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.48350/158651 |
_version_ |
1811643232338051072 |