Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ...
Due to climate change, worldwide glaciers are rapidly declining. The trend will continue into the future, with consequences for sea level, water availability and tourism. Here, we assess the future evolution of all glaciers in Scandinavia and Iceland until 2100 using the coupled surface mass-balance...
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Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/477233 |
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ftdatacite:10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 2024-04-28T08:20:01+00:00 Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... Compagno, Loris Zekollari, Harry Huss, Matthias Farinotti, Daniel 2021 application/pdf https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/477233 en eng ETH Zurich info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode cc-by-nc-sa-4.0 Climate change glacier flow glacier mass balance glacier modelling glacier volume article-journal Text ScholarlyArticle Journal Article 2021 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 2024-04-02T12:34:54Z Due to climate change, worldwide glaciers are rapidly declining. The trend will continue into the future, with consequences for sea level, water availability and tourism. Here, we assess the future evolution of all glaciers in Scandinavia and Iceland until 2100 using the coupled surface mass-balance ice-flow model GloGEMflow. The model is initialised with three distinct past climate data products (E-OBS, ERA-I, ERA-5), while future climate is prescribed by both global and regional climate models (GCMs and RCMs), in order to analyze their impact on glacier evolution. By 2100, we project Scandinavian glaciers to lose between 67 ± 18% and 90 ± 7% of their present-day (2018) volume under a low (RCP2.6) and a high (RCP8.5) emission scenario, respectively. Over the same period, losses for Icelandic glaciers are projected to be between 43 ± 11% (RCP2.6) and 85 ± 7% (RCP8.5). The projected evolution is only little impacted by both the choice of climate data products used in the past and the spatial resolution of the ... : Journal of Glaciology, 67 (264) ... Article in Journal/Newspaper glacier Iceland DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
English |
topic |
Climate change glacier flow glacier mass balance glacier modelling glacier volume |
spellingShingle |
Climate change glacier flow glacier mass balance glacier modelling glacier volume Compagno, Loris Zekollari, Harry Huss, Matthias Farinotti, Daniel Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
topic_facet |
Climate change glacier flow glacier mass balance glacier modelling glacier volume |
description |
Due to climate change, worldwide glaciers are rapidly declining. The trend will continue into the future, with consequences for sea level, water availability and tourism. Here, we assess the future evolution of all glaciers in Scandinavia and Iceland until 2100 using the coupled surface mass-balance ice-flow model GloGEMflow. The model is initialised with three distinct past climate data products (E-OBS, ERA-I, ERA-5), while future climate is prescribed by both global and regional climate models (GCMs and RCMs), in order to analyze their impact on glacier evolution. By 2100, we project Scandinavian glaciers to lose between 67 ± 18% and 90 ± 7% of their present-day (2018) volume under a low (RCP2.6) and a high (RCP8.5) emission scenario, respectively. Over the same period, losses for Icelandic glaciers are projected to be between 43 ± 11% (RCP2.6) and 85 ± 7% (RCP8.5). The projected evolution is only little impacted by both the choice of climate data products used in the past and the spatial resolution of the ... : Journal of Glaciology, 67 (264) ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Compagno, Loris Zekollari, Harry Huss, Matthias Farinotti, Daniel |
author_facet |
Compagno, Loris Zekollari, Harry Huss, Matthias Farinotti, Daniel |
author_sort |
Compagno, Loris |
title |
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
title_short |
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
title_full |
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
title_fullStr |
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
title_full_unstemmed |
Limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in Scandinavia and Iceland ... |
title_sort |
limited impact of climate forcing products on future glacier evolution in scandinavia and iceland ... |
publisher |
ETH Zurich |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/477233 |
genre |
glacier Iceland |
genre_facet |
glacier Iceland |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode cc-by-nc-sa-4.0 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000477233 |
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1797583178340237312 |