A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014.
Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was...
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Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.25607/obp-897 https://repository.oceanbestpractices.org/handle/11329/1391 |
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ftdatacite:10.25607/obp-897 2023-05-15T14:32:01+02:00 A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte, Carlos M. 2016 6pp. https://dx.doi.org/10.25607/obp-897 https://repository.oceanbestpractices.org/handle/11329/1391 en eng UNESCO/IOC Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 CC-BY Arctic shipping Parameter DisciplineCross-discipline CreativeWork article 2016 ftdatacite https://doi.org/10.25607/obp-897 2021-11-05T12:55:41Z Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011–2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) Arctic Arctic Ocean |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
DataCite Metadata Store (German National Library of Science and Technology) |
op_collection_id |
ftdatacite |
language |
English |
topic |
Arctic shipping Parameter DisciplineCross-discipline |
spellingShingle |
Arctic shipping Parameter DisciplineCross-discipline Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte, Carlos M. A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
topic_facet |
Arctic shipping Parameter DisciplineCross-discipline |
description |
Rapid loss of sea ice is opening up the Arctic Ocean to shipping, a practice that is forecasted to increase rapidly by 2050 when many models predict that the Arctic Ocean will largely be free of ice toward the end of summer. These forecasts carry considerable uncertainty because Arctic shipping was previously considered too sparse to allow for adequate validation. Here, we provide quantitative evidence that the extent of Arctic shipping in the period 2011–2014 is already significant and that it is concentrated (i) in the Norwegian and Barents Seas, and (ii) predominantly accessed via the Northeast and Northwest Passages. Thick ice along the forecasted direct trans-Arctic route was still present in 2014, preventing transit. Although Arctic shipping remains constrained by the extent of ice coverage, during every September, this coverage is at a minimum, allowing the highest levels of shipping activity. Access to Arctic resources, particularly fisheries, is the most important driver of Arctic shipping thus far. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte, Carlos M. |
author_facet |
Eguíluz, Victor M. Fernández-Gracia, Juan Irigoien, Xabier Duarte, Carlos M. |
author_sort |
Eguíluz, Victor M. |
title |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
title_short |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
title_full |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
title_fullStr |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
title_full_unstemmed |
A quantitative assessment of Arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
title_sort |
quantitative assessment of arctic shipping in 2010–2014. |
publisher |
UNESCO/IOC |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://dx.doi.org/10.25607/obp-897 https://repository.oceanbestpractices.org/handle/11329/1391 |
geographic |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Ocean Sea ice |
op_rights |
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Attribution 4.0 International https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode cc-by-4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.25607/obp-897 |
_version_ |
1766305503399378944 |